Syrian rebels elect Islamist-dominated unified command #Syria

Syrian rebel groups meeting in Turkey elected a 30-member unified command on Friday at talks attended by security officials from international powers, delegates said.

The 30 included many with ties to the Muslim Brotherhood and Salafists, and excluded the most senior officers who had defected from President Bashar al-Assad’s military, they said.

“The command has been organized into several fronts. We are now in the process of electing a military leader and a political liaison officer for each region,” said one of the delegates who did not want to be named, speaking from the coastal city of Antalya, where the meeting is being held.

Another delegate said that two-thirds of the leadership had ties to the Muslim Brotherhood or were politically allied with the group, a composition which resembles that of the civilian opposition leadership coalition created under Western and Arab auspices in Qatar last month.

“We are witnessing the result of the Qatari and Turkish creations,” the delegate said, adding that the 30 are a mix of officers who had defected from the military, which is dominated by Assad’s minority Alawite sect, and civilians-turned rebels.

Security officials from the United States, Britain, France, the Gulf and Jordan have been attending the talks, which come days before a conference for the Friends of Syria, a grouping of dozens of countries that have mostly pledged non-military aid to rebels fighting to oust Assad.

The new military leadership includes Jamal Marouf, an Islamist commander and Ahmad al-Issa from al-Zawiya region in Idlib, as well as Colonel Abdelbasset al-Tawil, who has links with Salafists in the province.

At least two figures representing the adjacent province of Aleppo were Salafists. They were joined by Colonel Abdelqader Saleh, a non-ideological professional officer, sources at the meeting said.

Absent from the group is Colonel Riad al-Asaad, founder of the Syrian Free Army and Brigadier Mustafa al-Sheikh, a senior officer known for his opposition to the Muslim Brotherhood.

Asaad and Sheikh were not part of the 263-man meeting in Antalia. Also excluded was general Hussein Haj Ali, the highest ranking officer to defect from the military since the uprising erupted in March last year.

AMMAN | Fri Dec 7, 2012 11:39am EST

7 Nov 2012 #Syria  #TheGreatestHomsiDescovery In Homs we expect 1 of the candidates will win US  #elections. Either Obama or Romney will win !!!

Homsi humour via @samersniper thanks samer :)

7 Nov 2012 #Syria   In Homs we expect 1 of the candidates will win US  . Either Obama or Romney will win !!!


Homsi humour via @samersniper thanks samer :)

Clinton and Lavrov set for showdown over #Syria transition plan

US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov were heading for a face-to-face showdown over Syria on Friday as major powers prepared for a weekend conference to hash out a political transition plan for the country.

On the eve of Saturday’s conference aimed at ending 16 months of brutal violence in Syria, Clinton and Lavrov were to meet in St. Petersburg in a bid to iron out deep differences over the transition plan being pushed by U.N. envoy Kofi Annan that calls for the formation of a national unity government that would oversee the drafting of a new constitution and elections.

U.S. officials are adamant that the plan will not allow Syrian President Bashar Assad to remain in power at the top of the transitional government, but Russia insists that outsiders cannot dictate the ultimate solution or the composition of the interim administration.

Annan laid out his expectations for the weekend conference in an op-ed in The Washington Post. The future government in Syria, he said “must include a government of national unity that would exercise full executive powers. This government could include members of the present government and the opposition and other groups, but those whose continued presence and participation would undermine the credibility of the transition and jeopardize stability and reconciliation would be excluded.”

Such a proposal does not explicitly bar Assad, but the U.S. and other western powers who will participate in the conference said that is implicit.

Assad also said any future government in Syria must hold free and fair elections for a multiparty government. Russia is Syria’s most important ally, protector and supplier of arms. Diplomatic hopes for have rested on persuading Russia to agree to a plan that would end the Assad family dynasty, which has ruled Syria for more than four decades.

The difference in interpretation between the U.S. and Russia could prove to be the plan’s unraveling. Clinton hopes to press Lavrov on the point at their meeting and over dinner following a gathering of Asia-Pacific foreign ministers that Lavrov is hosting in St. Petersburg.

On Thursday, Lavrov acknowledged that a transition period is necessary to end the violence in Syria, but said Russia had not agreed to all elements of Annan’s plan, in particular any suggestion that Assad would be required to leave.

“We are not supporting and will not support any external meddling,” Lavrov said. “External players must not dictate … to Syrians, but, first of all, must commit to influencing all the sides in Syria to stop the violence.”

He also said the Annan plan was still a work in progress.

But, Clinton, speaking Thursday in Riga, Latvia, said it was “very clear” that all participants in the Geneva meeting, including Russia, were on board with the transition plan. She told reporters that the invitations made clear that representatives “were coming on the basis of (Annan’s) transition plan.”

She said she expects the meeting “to provide an opportunity to make real progress” on that plan.

Russia refuses to budge on #Syria at G8

Russia’s non-intervention stance on Syria remained unchanged on Saturday as G8 leaders looked to hammer out a joint declaration to put greater pressure on President Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

“There cannot be any change of regime through force,” the Kremlin’s Africa envoy, Mikhail Margelov said, adding that G8 leaders meeting at Camp David had yet to agree on the Syria part of their final summit declaration.

“One has to give an opportunity to the Syrians to sort out their affairs themselves,” Margelov told reporters in Washington.

“You cannot use an ax to shear your way through the Syrian crisis, you have to use a pair of pincers to somehow sort it out.”

Despite refusing to budge from their principle of non-intervention on Syria — a thorn in the side of Western efforts to stop Assad’s year-long crackdown on dissent — the Russian envoy was critical of the regime, saying it had not come up with “any really creative ideas” to resolve the crisis.

“It is clear that the latest elections did not put an end to the Syria political crisis,” Margelov said, referring to May 7 legislative polls. “In my opinion, reaching that end will take a long time.”

Clashes across Syria continue despite an April 12 truce brokered by UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan.

More than 12,000 people, the majority of them civilians, have died since the Syrian uprising against Assad began in March 2011, including more than 900 killed since the putative truce came into effect, rights activists say.

Western powers have repeatedly called on Assad to step down but Margelov expressed wariness about what could follow.

“The anti-Bashar, anti-Assad opposition does not represent a single entity,” he said. “If the current leadership leaves, who will come to take over?”

A long-standing ally of Damascus, Moscow drew international criticism for vetoing two UN Security Council resolutions against Assad.

The Kremlin, which cautions against intervention in domestic affairs of conflict-ridden countries like Syria and Libya, is at odds with the rest of the G8, which also includes Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States.

Russia refuses to budge on #Syria at G8

Russia’s non-intervention stance on Syria remained unchanged on Saturday as G8 leaders looked to hammer out a joint declaration to put greater pressure on President Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

“There cannot be any change of regime through force,” the Kremlin’s Africa envoy, Mikhail Margelov said, adding that G8 leaders meeting at Camp David had yet to agree on the Syria part of their final summit declaration.

“One has to give an opportunity to the Syrians to sort out their affairs themselves,” Margelov told reporters in Washington.

“You cannot use an ax to shear your way through the Syrian crisis, you have to use a pair of pincers to somehow sort it out.”

Despite refusing to budge from their principle of non-intervention on Syria — a thorn in the side of Western efforts to stop Assad’s year-long crackdown on dissent — the Russian envoy was critical of the regime, saying it had not come up with “any really creative ideas” to resolve the crisis.

“It is clear that the latest elections did not put an end to the Syria political crisis,” Margelov said, referring to May 7 legislative polls. “In my opinion, reaching that end will take a long time.”

Clashes across Syria continue despite an April 12 truce brokered by UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan.

More than 12,000 people, the majority of them civilians, have died since the Syrian uprising against Assad began in March 2011, including more than 900 killed since the putative truce came into effect, rights activists say.

Western powers have repeatedly called on Assad to step down but Margelov expressed wariness about what could follow.

“The anti-Bashar, anti-Assad opposition does not represent a single entity,” he said. “If the current leadership leaves, who will come to take over?”

A long-standing ally of Damascus, Moscow drew international criticism for vetoing two UN Security Council resolutions against Assad.

The Kremlin, which cautions against intervention in domestic affairs of conflict-ridden countries like Syria and Libya, is at odds with the rest of the G8, which also includes Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States.


Russia refuses to budge on #Syria at G8

Russia’s non-intervention stance on Syria remained unchanged on Saturday as G8 leaders looked to hammer out a joint declaration to put greater pressure on President Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

“There cannot be any change of regime through force,” the Kremlin’s Africa envoy, Mikhail Margelov said, adding that G8 leaders meeting at Camp David had yet to agree on the Syria part of their final summit declaration.

“One has to give an opportunity to the Syrians to sort out their affairs themselves,” Margelov told reporters in Washington.

“You cannot use an ax to shear your way through the Syrian crisis, you have to use a pair of pincers to somehow sort it out.”

Despite refusing to budge from their principle of non-intervention on Syria — a thorn in the side of Western efforts to stop Assad’s year-long crackdown on dissent — the Russian envoy was critical of the regime, saying it had not come up with “any really creative ideas” to resolve the crisis.

“It is clear that the latest elections did not put an end to the Syria political crisis,” Margelov said, referring to May 7 legislative polls. “In my opinion, reaching that end will take a long time.”

Clashes across Syria continue despite an April 12 truce brokered by UN-Arab League envoy Kofi Annan.

More than 12,000 people, the majority of them civilians, have died since the Syrian uprising against Assad began in March 2011, including more than 900 killed since the putative truce came into effect, rights activists say.

Western powers have repeatedly called on Assad to step down but Margelov expressed wariness about what could follow.

“The anti-Bashar, anti-Assad opposition does not represent a single entity,” he said. “If the current leadership leaves, who will come to take over?”

A long-standing ally of Damascus, Moscow drew international criticism for vetoing two UN Security Council resolutions against Assad.

The Kremlin, which cautions against intervention in domestic affairs of conflict-ridden countries like Syria and Libya, is at odds with the rest of the G8, which also includes Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States.


#Syria On the Ground in Damascus

A Syrian refugee runs with a Syrian opposition flag during a demonstration against Syria’s President Assad, outside the Syrian embassy in Amman 13/04/2012. (photo by REUTERS/Ali Jarekji )
By: Imad Mrammel posted on Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Damascus, in this era of crisis, is a different city from what it used to be in the past. It seems to have moved from a phase of sustaining shocks, to one of living with them. The experiences it has undergone have given the city certain features characteristic of Beirut during the Lebanese civil war.

If the “ghost of security” is a new visitor to the Syrian capital — accompanying the proliferation of bombings and assassinations — the other guest is the unusual level of political mobility that has been expanding since the beginning of the crisis. The effects of this mobility are apparent. 

Psychological barriers have been broken and politics has emerged onto the Syrian scene like a genie from a bottle. As a result, Syrians have been divided between supporters of the regime and its opponents, with heated and noisy discussions between these two groups now commonplace. The regime’s opponents have regained their “voice,” and some no longer hesitate to vocalize their “revolutionary” ideas in a loud and piercing manner, all the while sipping a cup of coffee within close proximity of a building housing the country’s intelligence apparatus.

Concrete blocks surround the headquarters of the security and intelligence services, which look like miniature fortresses. The streets are scattered with both fixed and makeshift checkpoints, which control vehicles traveling through the area. Covert patrol cars with tinted windows also survey the scene. Car bombs or smaller explosions have almost become the norm, to the extent that their impact can only be discerned in the locales in which they occur, while life elsewhere continues on normally.

The debates raging in the Syrian capital on the partisan and popular levels reveal that, domestically speaking, there exist various points of view regarding what is taking place in Syria.

The first point of view is that of those who support the “rational opposition,” which takes on a more realistic approach to the crisis than “other [opposition] branches.” Their presence explains why the capital has relatively remained free of large-scale, bloody confrontations. The activists that identify with this  particular opposition movement assert that they are indeed for regime change and the departure of Bashar al-Assad. However, they stress that they espouse peaceful and democratic means to attain this, rejecting violence and bloodshed. In this regard, they stress that there is a substantial difference between “changing” the regime — as they call it — and “overthrowing” it, as others are trying to do.

This group does not see the regime as capable of reform, and they acknowledge that a new atmosphere has come to prevail since the beginning of the protests — what they are able to now voice loudly, they never dared to tell even themselves in the past. What is striking is their criticism of what they call “personal grudges held by some Lebanese leaders against Bashar al-Assad.” They note that they deeply resent these grudges, despite the fact that they are also strongly opposed to the Assad regime.

This group of Damascene dissidents sees the current political orientation of the Syrian people as follows:

  • One-third of Syrians support the regime and Assad for personal interests, sectarian reasons, or fear of the future and the unknown.
  • One-third support the opposition in all its forms — including armed opposition.
  • One-third of the Syrian population is neutral and silent, and cannot be counted on either side. This part of the people has so far refrained from taking action or having a final say on anything. However, it may eventually be up to those from this segment to resolve things once they determine their final choice and the direction they want the country to take.

Damascenes, who are characterized by their dissident spirit, hold Assad responsible for the current impasse. They are disappointed in Assad due to his inability to fix the situation as well as his perceived lack of desire, and his failure, to confront his corrupt environment. He allowed an influential group to monopolize the country’s wealth “while the intelligence and security services were left to suppress the citizens, who now seek to regain their dignity before anything else.”

This group believes that pro-regime demonstrations are not spontaneous. They claim that the majority of participants are public sector employees who know that they would lose their jobs if they do not respond to calls to demonstrate. There are also those who are associated with, and benefit from, the regime’s network of influence, who support the regime to preserve their own gains. “In this context, parliamentary elections would have no impact, and would be a mere joke. The current circumstances do not allow for the holding of free and fair elections. The Syrians, at the moment, are mostly concerned about restoring their dignity and freedom rather than choosing deputies who will only be pawns on the authority’s chessboard.” [unattributed quotation]

On the other hand, the “pro-regime Damascenes” have another point of view. As evidenced through their interactions on the street and within political circles, they still have the ability to polarize public opinion. Government loyalists argue that the regime has been cornered and left with no choice but to fight back by any means necessary, whether or not it wants to. They compare this situation to the [2006 Lebanese] July war, in which they say Hezbollah had no choice but to fight the war that was imposed on it by Israel, regardless of the possible outcome and the existing balance of power.

The regime’s zealots add: “We find that we have been left with no other choice but to fight a battle of life or death. We are not fighting for the regime but for the State, whose existence and continuity are on the line. We are well aware that this confrontation may drag on for a long time. We have prepared ourselves for all possibilities and worst-case scenarios, including the assumption that the crisis will continue past 2015, or possibly longer.”

“The Damascene zealots” believe that it is Syria as an entity that is facing imminent danger. They are skeptical of the many alleged attempts to atomize the country and divide it into sectarian enclaves.

A prominent official from one Baath party institution said that he was surprised when his daughter returned from school one day and reprimanded him for having hidden her confessional identity from her. He told her that he did not do so intentionally; he did not think that there was a need for her to interact with others on such grounds. The Baathist leader added that his house, which was supposedly located in a safe area, was attacked amidst the heat of the revolution. He says that he then realized that the crisis was an attempt to awaken sectarian strife among Syrians, and push them toward chaos at the expense of their citizenship.

The regime’s supporters acknowledge that the prevailing system has committed mistakes. However, they emphasize that the crisis’ current direction is not the solution. They believe that countries are not test tubes for new political systems, and that reform on the part of the current regime is far better than what is being proposed by a deeply divided opposition.

The regime’s supporters called on Syrians to adopt a realistic approach for the upcoming legislative elections, and claim that these elections remain the best possible option for Syria, even if they may not be held in the best of conditions. Legislative elections will serve as an exercise for democratic and pluralistic politics now that a new constitution is in effect. Some claim that they will be a training session for the Baath Party, which will help it adapt to the new realities it faces. They will also allow emerging political parties to gain electoral experience. 

05/07/12 #Syria Full and free elections in the Aleppo countryside …

Heavy fighting rocks eastern #Syria ahead of poll

Syrian man taps on a window of the vehicle used by U.N. observers to try and talk to them during their field visit to the Madaya area, near Damascus

Syrian man taps on a window of the vehicle used by U.N. observers to try and talk to them during their field visit to the Madaya area, near Damascus (KHALED AL-HARIRI, REUTERS / May 6, 2012)

AMMAN (Reuters) - Fighting between rebels and President Bashar al-Assad’s forces erupted in an oil producing province in eastern Syria, residents and activists said on Sunday, the eve of a parliamentary election the authorities say shows reforms are under way.

Rebels armed with rocket-propelled grenades attacked tank positions in the east of the provincial capital Deir al-Zor, in response to an army offensive against towns and villages in the tribal area bordering Iraq that has killed tens of people and stopped others reaching supplies and medical care, they said.

“We do not have a death toll because no one is daring to go into the streets,” said Ghaith Abdelsalam, an opposition activist who lives near Ghassan Abboud roundabout that has become a flashpoint for the fighting in the city.

“The population has been trapped and anger has been building up,” he said, adding the fighting subsided in the morning after erupting overnight.

The army still has tanks and heavy weapons in cities and towns and rebels are continuing their attacks on military convoys and army roadblocks that have cut off swathes of the country, according to witnesses and opposition sources, both sides in violation of ceasefire being monitored by a U.N. team.

Fifty out of a planned total of 300 U.N. observers are now in Syria to monitor the ceasefire declared on April 12, but their presence has not halted 14 months of violence.

The Syrian Network for Human Rights, an opposition organization that documents the crackdown, said Assad’s forces killed three people on Sunday, including Ali Arnous, a young man in the town of Tel north of Damascus.

YouTube video showed thousands of people marching at Arnous’s funeral, chanting “Raise your head high, father of the martyr”, and carrying a huge green Syrian flag from the era before Assad’s Baath Party seized power in a 1963 coup.

A grave containing the bodies of six other people the network said were killed by Assad’s forces was discovered in Oram al-Joz, one of dozens of towns and villages in Idlib, which has been overrun by the military in the past few months.

Footage and accounts by activists are hard to verify conclusively because the government restricts media access.

The authorities say they are fighting foreign backed terrorists who are bent on sabotaging what state media describe as a comprehensive reform program being led by Assad that is more advanced than in Western democracies.

“NOTHING CHANGED”

The authorities are touting Monday’s parliamentary election as a showcase of these reforms.

However, the opposition says it will change little in a rubberstamp assembly that has been chosen by the ruling Assad family, backed by the powerful secret police, for the past four decades.

The assembly currently does not have a single opposition member and official media said half the seats would be reserved to “representatives of workers and peasants”, whose unions are controlled by Assad’s Baath Party.

“Nothing has changed. Syria’s political system remains utterly corrupt and election results will be again determined in advance,” said opposition activist Bassam Ishaq, who unsuccessfully ran for parliament in 2003 and 2007.

“There are effectively very few seats for independents, and these will go to the highest bidder.”

Interior Minister Mohammad Nidal al-Shaar toured the northern city of Aleppo on Sunday, and declared Syria’s commercial and industrial hub was ready for the vote.

“All resources should be made available to ensure the electoral process proceeds smoothly,” Shaar, flanked by electoral officials, told state media.

Anti-Assad demonstrations have expanded in Aleppo after his forces killed seven student protesters at its university last month. Witnesses say street demonstrations demanding his removal have been expanding across the country since the monitors’ arrival.

Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan told Syrian refugees on Sunday that victory for the rebels was not far off and that Assad was “losing blood” by the day.

Erdogan, who is trying to rally international support against Assad, was met with enthusiastic applause and shouts of “Long live Erodgan” at the Kilis camp on Turkey’sborder with Syria, which is sheltering 9,000 refugees from the violence.

“Your victory is not far. We have just one issue: to stop the bloodshed and tears and for the Syrian people’s demands to be met,” he told the crowd.

Backed by old ally Russia, and with support from Iran’s clerical Shi’ite rulers, Assad, who belongs to Syria’s Alawite minority, an offshoot of Shi’ite Islam, has relied on the Alawite dominated military to try to put down the uprising against his repressive rule, which is being mostly led by members of the country’s Sunni majority.

Unlike the autocratic leaders of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Yemen, who have been toppled by Arab Spring revolts, Assad has retained enough support among the military and among his Alawite sect, which dominates the army and security apparatus, to withstand the popular revolt.

The ruling elite still has open supply lines from Iraq and Lebanon to counter Western sanctions. In Lebanon the Shi’ite guerrilla group Hezbollah has led support for Syria to the disquiet of the Sunni population.

On Sunday, the U.N. monitors visited the towns of Madaya and Zabadani near the Lebanese border.

The Syrian military shelled Madaya and the nearby resort of Zabadani, the scene of regular demonstrations demanding Assad’s removal, for weeks before agreeing with rebels in January on a deal for the two sides to hold their fire.

In Zabadani, pictures of young men killed by Assad’s forces were plastered on shuttered shops and facades of buildings.

“Vote for your candidate to parliament, the martyr Nour Adnan al-Dalati,” read one poster, mocking Monday’s election.

“Vote for martyr Issam Hasan Tassa,” said another.
Free elections in #Syria can end violence, says PM Erdoğan
Ayatollah Khamenei talks to Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in the city of Mashhad on Thursday. (Photo: EPA)
31 March 2012 / EKREM DUMANLI, MASHHAD/İSTANBUL
The solution to the current conflict in Syria between government forces and the opposition is holding free elections, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said on Friday, on his return flight from Iran, where he has been visiting since Tuesday.

“We talked about Syria with Mahmoud Ahmedinejad. We don’t differ in our approach toward Syria. He also wants the deaths to end,” Erdoğan said.

“A ballot box should be placed in front of the Syrian people with the correct time and conditions. Whoever the people want to see at the helm, they will be accepted. The question of who will succeed President Bashar al-Assad is moot. Whoever the people of Syria want will be in office.”

He said Iran might succeed in convincing Bashar to hold elections within six months, and Turkey can talk to the opposition.

Erdoğan said the elections should be fair, transparent and open to international monitoring. “If necessary, OSCE or regional countries can send observers. If Assad displays a positive approach, we will wait patiently, but the deaths must come to an end as quickly as possible.”

The prime minister also noted that he was optimistic that a settlement in Syria will be reached soon. “The two important developments are the idea of elections and that there is a united consensus against an intervention from outside. There can’t be a second Libya syndrome,” he told the journalists on the plane. He said there shouldn’t be any military intervention in Syria without a UN resolution.

He also noted that the US, the UN, Russia and Iran are all important actors in the process. He said Russia was positive about the prospect of an election in Syria, as is Iran. And the US is not interested in an intervention in Syria.

Erdoğan also spoke about the bilateral ties between Iran and Turkey. “Our trade volume is $16 billion. If it weren’t for the international sanctions, this would have been $20 billion. If we diversify, we can close the trade gap with Iran. We are thinking of using the model of a preferential trade agreement. They will purchase certain products from Turkey. And the energy ministers will work out a solution for natural gas and oil prices.”

The prime minister also gave information on his talks with Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on the country’s nuclear program. “Khamanei says, ‘Our religion doesn’t allow weapons of mass destruction. Nuclear weapons are too expensive to work as good deterrents.’ Israel has 250-300 nuclear warheads. This is never discussed. Iran says it won’t develop nuclear weapons. We don’t know, only God knows that. Khamenei is a respected person who is open to the world. There is his word. Ahmedinejad also says the country’s only concern is energy.”

Erdoğan also said a possible attack from Israel on Iran would have disastrous results. “It won’t be anything like the US-Iraq war. Israel should not attack Iran,” he said.

Kofi Annan’s plan is destined to fail #Syria

By David Schenker – Special to CNN

President Bashar al-Assad has agreed to U.N. envoy and former Secretary-General Kofi Annan’s six-point plan to end the bloodshed in Syria.  Al-Assad was wise to do so.  The U.N. initiative, which endorses al-Assad’s oversight of a “political process to address the legitimate aspirations” of the Syrian people - is a boon to the dictator and a setback for the opposition.

Al-Assad had little to lose by signing on to the plan.  The concessions he made in the deal- - the ceasefire, the ensuring of humanitarian assistance, a release of political prisoners, allowing entry to journalists, and permitting demonstrations - can all be reversed relatively quickly. 

Meanwhile, the benefits for al-Assad are significant.  Notwithstanding having killed nearly 10,000 Syrian citizens, some U.N. member states will likely view the president’s acceptance of the plan as a positive step providing evidence of the regime’s new willingness to compromise with the opposition.  More importantly, Annan’s plan says nothing about al-Assad having to leave, much less face trial for crimes against humanity.  To wit, when queried on March 27 about whether al-Assad would step down, Annan said “it’s up to the Syrian people.”

Putting aside the absurd supposition that the Syrian “people” ever had or ever will be empowered to determine al-Assad’s future through peaceful means, the plan not only perpetuates, but legitimates al-Assad’s continued rule.  For the time being, at least, the debate has changed from how al-Assad can be forced from power to what reforms the Syrian strongman can be convinced to make.

At the same time, the plan hurts the opposition.  The predictably divergent responses to the news of al-Assad’s acceptance from the Syrian National Council, the opposition’s government in exile, highlight rifts within the group.  Should the negotiations actually occur, questions of who will speak for the opposition will only exacerbate extant divisions.  Worse, Annan’s plan will slow the momentum building in Washington calling for providing critical funding and lethal assistance to the Free Syrian Army, the military opposition to the regime.

For al-Assad, the Annan plan also provides a useful respite both from international condemnation and for his troops.  In particular, a ceasefire would give the regime’s 4th Division -  some 12,000 Alawite troops loyal to the minoritarian Alawite regime - a much-needed break.   For the past year, the division has been deployed throughout Syria, tasked with suppressing largely Sunni Muslim rebel forces.

Accepting this U.N. roadmap is vintage al-Assad regime strategy.  As usual, he is playing for time.  During the Bush Administration, for example, the regime was under a lot of pressure, internationally isolated for its assumed role in the murder of the former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and for helping to move insurgents into Iraq to kill American soldiers.

At moments of maximum international pressure on the regime, however, al-Assad would float the possibility of negotiations with Israel.  The mere prospect of Damascus joining the peace camp alleviated the pressure and ended Syria’s pariah status.   Al-Assad succeeded in waiting out a hostile Bush Administration, which was replaced by an Obama Administration that campaigned on a pledge to diplomatically engage the regime.

If the Annan plan had even a remote chance of succeeding, it might be worth risking the potential downsides.  Alas, there is absolutely no prospect of success.  Al-Assad had more than ten years to implement political reforms.  Judging from al-Assad’s recently intercepted emails where he referred to promised reforms as “rubbish laws of parties, elections, and media,” the revolt has not spurred an epiphany.

While al-Assad may indeed engage in dialogue with opposition figures, he will not consent to real democratic elections that will lead to majoritarian [i.e. Sunni Muslim] rule in Syria.  He may likewise agree to vest parliament with more authority and provide the historically powerless legislature with the appearance of relevance.   But this is al-Assad’s vision of reform - it does not reflect the aspirations of the Syrian people who, for the past year have put their lives on the line to end the corrupt, tyrannical, and increasingly brutal regime.

What al-Assad will offer during the “political process” will be acceptable to neither the political nor the military opposition.  In fact, it’s difficult to see anything short of al-al-Assad’s departure from power being accepted.

So Kofi Annan’s initiative to end the crisis in Syria is destined for failure. To be sure, al-Assad will blame the plan’s failure on the opposition “terrorists” and continue with the atrocities.  Meanwhile, the opposition will regroup, and the Free Syria Army, armed by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, will continue the fight to protect demonstrators and end the regime.

At the end of the day, however, the biggest cost of this ill-advised effort may be time.  The longer the conflict drags on, the more Islamist the opposition is becoming.   Regrettably, counterproductive U.N. efforts like the Annan plan will do little to reverse this trend.

Asma Assad: #Syria Dictator’s Wife A ‘Rose In The Desert’ Crushed By Uprising Violence

Syrian president Bashar Assad’s wife Asma is pictured at the Bristol hotel on December 11, 2010 in Paris. (MIGUEL MEDINA/AFP/Getty Images)


By Maria Golovnina

LONDON, March 19 (Reuters) - She was supposed to be the gentler face of a would-be reformist regime. Now Asma al-Assad has become a hate figure for many.

Syria’s London-born first lady, once breathlessly described as a “rose in the desert”, is ensconced at the heart of the shadowy inner circle of President Bashar al-Assad.

As Syria slides towards civil war and foreign powers watch for cracks within the ruling clan, understanding Asma could prove vital to understanding the Assads and the future of the Syrian crisis.

A British-educated former investment banker, Asma cultivated the image of a glamorous yet serious-minded woman with strong Western-inspired values who was meant to humanise the increasingly secretive and isolated Assad family.

That image crumbled when her husband responded to an anti-government rebellion with extreme violence a year ago. Asma had clearly decided to stand by her man despite international revulsion at his actions. Assad himself says he is fighting an insurrection, involving foreign-backed “terrorists”.

Asma’s ancestral home is the city of Homs, now a symbol of the revolt which has been subjected to particularly fierce attack by her husband’s tanks to become ground zero in the year-long conflict.

With her penchant for crystal-encrusted Christian Louboutin shoes and Chanel dresses, Asma is a puzzle for many. The opposition roundly rejects suggestions that she is effectively a prisoner of conscience in the presidential palace.

“She was very much, as we would say, left wing. She (created) a very, very good impression. She seemed to be very bright, very respectful of others,” said Gaia Servadio, a writer and historian who has worked with Asma on several art projects.

“It’s a very nasty regime … Thousands of people have been killed. So it’s very difficult to say: poor woman. She certainly should have found a way to talk.”

The world was smitten by her immaculate facade. In the Western media, Asma, a 36-year-old mother of three, was described as sophisticated, elegant, confident, with a “killer IQ” and an interest in opening up Syria though art and charity.

For those who pinned their hopes on Assad as a potential reformer, his photogenic wife bolstered that image, lending a touch of glamour to his awkward public appearances.

A glowing article in Vogue magazine described her as “a rose in the desert” and her household as “wildly democratic”. A French newspaper said she was an “element of light in a country full of shadow zones”.

People were charmed by her classy demeanour, liberal views and British accent. She received the Gold Medal of the Presidency of The Italian Republic for humanitarian work in 2008 and won an honorary archaeology doctorate from La Sapienza university in Rome.

“THE REAL DICTATOR”

Yet emails published by Britain’s Guardian newspaper this month from accounts believed to belong to the family offer a different portrait, showing her as a capricious dictator’s wife spending tens of thousands of pounds on jewels, fancy furniture, and a Venetian glass vase from Harrods.

“I am the real dictator, he has no choice,” she apparently said in one of the emails in a comment about her husband.

Her London contact, a Syrian businessman, appears to send emails to her using an address he has nicknamed “Party party”.

The story of how the London-born daughter of a Sunni Muslim Syrian doctor married into Assad’s family, members of the powerful minority Alawite sect, reads like a cautionary tale.

She was born in the west London suburbs, whose sleepy streets are lined with neat houses, just like her family’s. Twelve years after she married Assad, the family home appears almost abandoned, its curtains drawn. Neighbours said her father still lives there with his wife, a former diplomat.

“We know they are there but we don’t see them,” said one neighbour, a veiled Arab woman who asked not to be named. No one answered the door bell when Reuters called at the weekend.

A Syrian dissident from Aleppo, who lives nearby and asked to be identified only by his nickname, Zayed, said most Syrians in Britain despised Asma now.

Zayed, angrily comparing Asma to Marie Antoinette or the wife of Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceausescu, called on the Syrian leader’s wife to “make a stand for your own sake, for your own people … She never did.”

A senior member of the British Syrian Society, set up with Assad’s help to promote business ties, said he has met the first couple in London and used warm words to describe them.

“They were quite impressive to talk to. He came across as someone who wanted to listen, get ideas, get advice, open to everybody, he made it plain that he wanted Syrians abroad to help building the country again. He was welcoming and warm.”

Speaking on condition of anonymity in a gentlemen’s club in a smart London neighbourhood, he added: “We all felt there was an opportunity that he, the president, representing the younger generation, could lead Syria to a new age of change.

“Perhaps he feels betrayed. Why are they (the West) ganging up on him? Now some people say, he is in full control, others say that he is not. Maybe he is shocked by the fact that … in the end they all turned against them.”

Asma’s father, Fawaz Akhras, a cardiologist and founder of the British Syrian Society, has not responded to a Reuters request for a meeting, made through an intermediary.


“WARLORDS, ONE AGAINST THE OTHER”

Known as Emma to her British friends, Asma spent the first 25 years of her life in North Acton, went to a smart London girls school, Queen’s College, and read computer science at King’s College London.

She was a rising star at JP Morgan when she met Bashar, who had studied ophthalmology in London but was sent home to be groomed for the presidency after his elder brother, Basil, died in a car crash in 1994.

“I was always very serious at work, and suddenly I started to take weekends (off), or disappear, and people just couldn’t figure it out,” she told Vogue. “What do you say - ‘I am dating the son of a president?’”

They married in 2000. What followed was a life full of glamour. They once dined with Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt in Syria. Bashar joked, according to Vogue: “Brad Pitt wanted to send his security guards here to come and get some training!”

One photograph from happier days depicts them playing with their children, toys scattered around on the carpet.

The Assad side of the clan, however, didn’t like Asma, not least because of her Sunni Muslim origins.

“Certainly the Assad family doesn’t like her, to put it mildly … She was constantly under watch, her telephone, she was very careful,” Servadio, who spent time with the family in Syria before the uprising, told Reuters in London.

“She was shouted at. How odd, frankly, (that) somebody who is meant to be the wife of the president who is an autocrat, can be shouted at in this way.” She added: “It was like a mediaeval power, warlords, one against the other.”


CHILLING GLIMPSE

Asma’s husband was elected president with 97 percent of the vote in 2000 after the death of his father, Hafez al-Assad, who had ruled Syria with an iron fist for decades.

Before the start of the 2011 uprising, there was hope Syria could change. Syrians saw his choice of wife as proof that things were about to change.

“When he came to power, people said, ‘Okay … let’s give him a chance and see what he’s going to do,’” said Ghassan Ibrahim, Global Arab Network’s London-based editor. “What happened is that he made corruption even more organised, Mafia appeared, poverty grew sharply … (But) she is standing by the criminal and she supports him.”

Emails leaked by Syria’s opposition offer a chilling glimpse into the lavish lifestyle the couple enjoyed even as Assad’s troops shelled opposition strongholds.

The tone of those emails is incongruously jokey. In one, Asma’s husband disparages his own reforms as “rubbish”. He also shares a pun playing on the words “elections” and “erections”.

Asma appears to have written in an email: “If we are strong together, we will overcome this together … I love you.”

As the revolt unfolded she gradually disappeared from public view but broke her silence in February, saying in a statement: “The president is the president of Syria, not a faction of Syrians, and the first lady supports him in that role.”

In a haunting interview with CNN, looking nervous, she once said: “We are losing time. We are working against the clock. Three thousand and three hundred people injured. More than that, 22,000 people have been displaced from their homes … This is the 21st century. Where in the world could this happen?”

She was talking in 2009 about an Israeli operation in Gaza.


“VIRTUALLY A PRISONER”

Some believe she is a propaganda tool of the Assad family, a liberal going through a moral crisis in Damascus, unable to speak up or escape.

“She is virtually a prisoner. The two of them missed their boat,” said Servadio. “I would certainly accuse him (Assad) of being a coward. … I think he is a puppet, very much used.

“For them (the family) it’s wonderful to have a scapegoat, these two people at the top who are absorbing all the hatred.”

Ibrahim disagreed. “It’s not true at all. Assad has been in power for over 12 years. He is in full control. Giving such excuses to him is unacceptable. They are like the Mafia.”

As battles raged across Syria, Asma kept spending on designer baubles from London, according to the emails.

For ordinary Syrians, Asma al-Assad is now a hate figure.

“They have stolen Syrian money. She is squandering it here in London,” said Fawaz, a man who came to an opposition fund-raising event in London wrapped in a Syrian flag.

“She and her father are accomplices to this crime. They learned nothing from the democracy here in the UK.” (Writing By Maria Golovnina Editing by Giles Elgood)

Syrian forces ‘kill more than 40 outside mosque in Idlib’

Syrian forces were accused of killing more than 40 people outside a mosque in the northern city of Idlib as the Assad regime widened an offensive aimed at inflicting a decisive blow against a faltering rebel campaign.

Syrian forces were accused of killing more than 40 people outside a mosque in the northern city of Idlib as the Assad regime widened an offensive aimed at inflicting a decisive blow against a faltering rebel campaign.
In what appeared to be a deliberate ambush against civilians, pro-regime forces opened fire as residents of Idlib gathered outside the city’s al-Bilal mosque Photo: AP

Government troops appeared to have cleared the last major pockets of resistance in Idlib, a major opposition stronghold, after the city was left only lightly defended following the withdrawal of most rebel fighters over the weekend.

Both opposition activists and pro-government media outlets reported the fall of Idlib after three days of sustained tank, machine-gun and artillery fire.

In what appeared to be a deliberate ambush against civilians, pro-regime forces opened fire as residents of Idlib gathered outside the city’s al-Bilal mosque to view corpses that had been dumped there overnight by loyalist militiamen, opposition activists said. About 45 people were killed, according to witnesses.

It came as President Bashar al-Assad announced parliamentary elections for May 7 under a new constitution passed in February.

It also came a day after at least 16 civilians, mostly women and children, were burned or hacked to death in the Karm el-Zeytoun district of Homs. A Syrian opposition activist claimed that the government was carrying out evermore brutal atrocities against suspected opposition sympathisers in order to deprive rebels of support.

“We are seeing a systematic campaign of ethnic cleansing with the intention of emptying anti-Assad neighbourhoods,” the activist said. “Yet many have died as they attempt to flee, so the intention is also of maximising terror.”

With the uprising against President Bashar al-Assad about to mark its first anniversary on Thursday, civilians are becoming increasingly vulnerable. At least 30,000 Syrians have fled to neighbouring countries, with 200,000 more displaced within the country, the United Nations refugee agency reported.

Those who try to escape the country face an increasingly hazardous mission, with Human Rights Watch reporting that the army has spent recent weeks mining Syria’s border with Turkey.

“Any use of anti-personnel landmines is unconscionable,” said Steve Goose, the New-York based group’s arms division director said. “There is absolutely no justification for the use of these indiscriminate weapons by any country, anywhere, for any purpose.”

The recent mining, which mirrors similar actions carried out on the border with Lebanon last November, seems to be part of a wider operation to sever rebel escape and resupply routes between Turkey and northern Syria.

The Free Syrian Army, the main rebel fighting unit, has de-facto bases inside Turkey, allowing it greater freedom of manoeuvre in northern Syria than elsewhere in the country.

Buoyed by military victories in Homs, the Syrian army appears intent on eliminating the rebel presence in the area. In pursuit of that goal government soldiers launched simultaneous offensives against a number of towns in Idlib province closer to the border.

There was heavy fighting reported in the towns of Khan Shaykhoun and Jisr al-Shughour, both close to the Turkish frontier. Rebels were able to inflict casualties on a checkpoint in Idlib province as well as the southern city of Dera’a.

Rebels also mounted operations in eastern Syria, suggesting that opposition forces were taking advantage of the deployment of the government’s best units in Homs and Idlib. It is an indication that the rebels, though at a disadvantage, are not a spent force and that the regime’s military capacity is overstretched.

The main Syrian opposition nonetheless suffered another setback on Tuesday, when Haitham al-Maleh, a former judge and long-standing dissident, quit the Syrian National Council, the main political group outside the country representing the revolt against Assad. He said there was “a lot of chaos in the group and not a lot of clarity over what they can accomplish right now.”

With Syria’s death toll mounting – the UN estimates that it stands at more than 8,000 – the head of the Arab League, Nabil Elaraby, demanded an international investigation into the killing of civilians, which he said amounted to crimes against humanity.

But the call is unlikely to find favour with Russia, Mr Assad’s strongest foreign supporter, which on Tuesday pledged to keep supplying the regime with weapons despite Western criticism.

Syria: White House labels Assad’s referendum promise ‘laughable’

Opposition leaders immediately rejected the offer to hold a vote on a new constitution on Feb 26 followed by multi-party elections within 90 days.

The White House dismissed the referendum as “laughable”. “It makes a mockery of the Syrian revolution,” said Jay Carney, the White House spokesman.

At the United Nations in New York, where there were renewed attempts to unite international opinion against the regime, Mr Assad’s pledge was dismissed as “hot air”.

The UN General Assembly will vote tonight on a motion supporting a plan by the Arab League to send a joint peacekeeping force to help end the 11-month conflict, in which at least 6,000 people have been killed.

The vote is not legally binding but British officials said that if significant numbers of countries voted in favour, it would increase pressure on Russia and China, both of which vetoed a UN Security Council resolution backing the Arab League plan. The league proposal called for Mr Assad’s departure within months.

Asked about the possibility of elections in Syria, one senior British official said: “We’re not taking it too seriously. Assad has said a lot of hot air in the past.”

France suggested that a new, binding Security Council resolution could be put to the vote as soon as next week.

Alain Juppé, the French foreign minister, said he would work with Russia to agree on a form of words it could accept and added that the resolution could involve the creation of “humanitarian corridors” to allow peacekeepers access to civilians caught up in the violence.

Moscow has insisted that it will back international moves to end the crisis only if both the Syrian government and opposition are required to commit to a ceasefire — a demand which Western powers including Britain, the United States and France say gives legitimacy to the violent crackdown by the Assad regime.

Mr Assad responded to growing international outrage at his bloody crackdown by offering to stage a referendum on a new constitution that could effectively end five decades of single-party rule. The proposed charter would drop Article 8 of the Syrian constitution which declares the ruling Ba’ath Party as the “leader of the state and society”.

An explosion hit a major oil pipeline feeding a refinery in Homs, sending a large plume of smoke rising into the sky (Reuters)

Under the new constitution, freedom would be “a sacred right” and “the people will govern the people” in a multi-party democracy, state television said.

The referendum would be followed by elections to appoint a new president who could serve for up to two terms of seven years each. Mr Assad has been in power for 12 years, succeeding his father, who ruled for 29 years. The Ba’ath Party has ruled Syria since 1963.

He made clear, however, that the onslaught against rebels would continue. A new offensive was launched in the town of Hama, while the besieged city of Homs was shelled for the 13th day in a row. In the capital Damascus, troops carried out a search and arrest operation.

Syrian television quoted a draft of the referendum: “The political system of the state will be based on a principle of political plurality and democracy will be practised through the voting box.”

New parties could not be based on a religion or regional interests, meaning the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood and autonomy-seeking Kurdish parties would be excluded from participating.

Melhem al-Droubi, a member of the exiled opposition Syrian National Council and the Muslim Brotherhood, rejected the proposal. “The truth is that Bashar al-Assad has increased the killing and slaughter in Syria,” he said. “He has lost his legitimacy and we aren’t interested in his rotten constitutions, old or new.”

Hundreds of people have been killed in the bombardment of Homs. Activists and aid groups have warned of a growing humanitarian crisis, with food running short and wounded people unable to get proper care.

Russia, Iran and Hezbollah are already intervening in #Syria. Why aren’t we?
Protesters in Syria burn Russian and Chinese flags

Protesters in Syria burn Russian and Chinese flags

“Michael, I swear we are getting slaughtered.”

I had asked Alaa al-Sheikh, the spokesman for the Khaled Bin Waleed brigade of Syrian rebels, to give me an overview of what’s happened in the last 72 hours in Homs. He said that 42 people had been killed in the city of Rastan alone, although he admits that mention of statistics at this stage is irrelevant: “There are bodies that could not be documented because they were completely mutilated and disfigured.”

For those who haven’t had lunch today, I encourage you to see up-close what Russian weapons and Iranian and Hezbollah “military consultants” have helped accomplish in Syria. This video is of a young boy in Homs. His entire lower jaw has been removed from his head and I’m told that this is more watchable version of the footage; an earlier reel went round where he hadn’t been anaesthetised yet.

Vladimir Putin’s copper-bottomed support for Bashar al-Assad at the UN Security Council can be taken in one of two ways. There will be those who claim that here was one organised crime lord pledging solidarity with his human ferret counterpart. The two men really do understand each other and are even beginning to replicate each other’s c.v.s. Assad is doing to Syria what Putin did to Chechnya a decade ago and under the same pretext of combating “terrorists”.  Moscow had its dodgy apartment bombings in 1999, blamed with credible evidence on the FSB, to justify the razing of Grozny. Damascus has had its spate of “suicide bombings” lately, blamed by the regime on the following actors: al-Qaida, the United States, Israel, the Muslim Brotherhood, the Syrian opposition and loyalists of former Syrian Vice President Abdul Halim Khaddam. Footage showing the mukhabarat’s theatrics before and after these incidents matters not at all because the Assad regime, with a little help from Russia Today and other Kremlin mouthpieces, has also blamed “foreign media” for presenting a mere domestic misunderstanding as a full-blown humanitarian crisis.

Taken another way, Putin’s support for Assad is a foreign policy “victory” that comes at just the right time for Russia, weeks ahead of a presidential election. The real challengers to the incumbent are not liberal bourgeois figures who cannot get their candidacies registered, but an indulged nationalist far Right which believes that Russia for is for ethnic Russians, and warm-water ports in the Mediterranean are as well. Like Assad, Putin sees foreign conspiracies at every turn. And so the tens of thousands gathered at the weekend at Bolotnaya Square demanding genuine democracy are no match for a narod convinced that runaway corruption and stuffed ballots aren’t as important as giving Washington and Brussels the finger.

Hillary Clinton, William Hague and Alain Juppe can grumble all they like about travesties at Turtle Bay and the inevitability of Assad’s fall. Even if they got their toothless Security Council resolution calling for Assad’s departure, then what? Would he pack up and go quietly? If so, where to? How’s the tabouleh in the Black Sea?

Here is the real travesty of this revolution. Russia, Iran and Hezbollah have all been “intervening” in Syria’s internal affairs for ten months now. Meanwhile, the Arab League, the United States and the European Union have all determined that any claim to sovereignty Assad might have had in 2011 is null and void in 2012. What is needed, therefore, is not condemnations, demarches and shuttered embassies but a Western equivalent of intervention in Syria, namely in the form of:

• Humanitarian “safe areas” to provide food, aid and medical supplies to the civilian population and give the various opposition groups a headquarters inside their own country
• Advanced weapons and communication devices for the Syrian rebels
• A no-fly zone to stop the regime from using its aircraft to conduct reconnaissance, offload security personnel and – yes – strafe rebel strongholds from the sky.

Elements of the dead Left view a US military presence in the Middle East as more of a menace than a Soviet-style totalitarianism which rapes young boys in front of their fathers and murders newborn infants just for the hell of it. I don’t expect them to concede that their anti-imperialist theses are less important than Arab lives. But they have no right to misrepresent the will of the people doing the bleeding and dying. If certain comment editors have difficulty finding Syrians on the ground who want Nato fighter jets overhead, I’ll be glad to introduce them to several.

Here is al-Sheikh: “As an activist and a coordinator for the Khaled Bin Waleed brigade, I state that we in Homs, Idlib and Damascus suburbs call for unilateral American and British intervention. We also want to improve our relations with the US administration and people after the revolution, but we need you to save us. We are getting slaughtered, save us.”