08/12/12

Translation provided by Syrian Assistance Team

Georges Sabra
Lately we got information that the regime could use chemical weapons! We warn the world of these risks, of the disaster that could occur if the criminal regime uses these chemicals! We appeal to the UN and the Big World Powers!  The regime is determined to use mass destruction weapons and any weapons to destroy the Syrian people. This regime has already committed genocide, crimes  against humanity and war crimes in Hama, Aleppo, Tadmur, Jesr el Shghour.  In the 80th, Houla , Daraya, Treymsse, Homs and Daraa and most of the cities and towns of Syria in the last months. This regime killed more than 40000 in the 80th and in the past months, more than this number! We believe that nothing will  stop this regime to commit many more crimes, especially now that it is close to its end, except if it is faced by a strict and serious International position! We ask the  world to move immediately to prevent this regime from using chemical weapons, not after it uses them but before to prevent a disaster on Syria and its people!

Rift develops in Syrian opposition group #Syria

AMMAN | Sun Feb 26, 2012 7:24pm EST

(Reuters) - Prominent members of the main Syrian National Council formed a splinter organisation on Sunday, exposing the most serious rift among President Bashar al-Assad’s opponents since a popular uprising against his repressive rule erupted in March.

 

At least 20 secular and Islamist members of the 270-strong council, which was set up in Istanbul last year, announced the formation of the Syrian Patriotic Group.

The new group is headed by Haitham al-Maleh, a lawyer and former judge who has resisted dynastic family rule by Assad and his father, the late President Hafez al-Assad, since its inception in 1970.

He is joined by Kamal al-Labwani, an opposition leader who was jailed for six years and released in December; human rights lawyer Catherine al-Talli; Fawaz al-Tello, an opposition operative with links to Free Syrian Army rebels and Walid al-Bunni, who was among the most outspoken figures on the council responsible for foreign policy.

“Syria has experienced long and difficult months since the Syrian National Council was formed without it achieving satisfactory results or being able to activate its executive offices or adopt the demands of the rebels inside Syria,” a statement by the Syrian Patriotic Group said.

“The previous mode of operation has been useless. We decided to form a patriotic action group to back the national effort to bring down the regime with all available resistance means including supporting the Free Syrian Army,” the statement, which was sent to Reuters, said.

The statement was issued in Tunis, where members of the Syrian National Council, including those who have effectively split, attended the 50-nation “Friends of Syria” conference last week to try to push Assad to end the military crackdown.

The Syrian National Council has been under mounting pressure from within Syria for not overtly backing armed resistance against Assad, which is being led by the Free Syrian Army.

Assad, from Syria’s Alawite minority, has sent tanks across the country to crush the uprising. The sustained attack on the central city of Homs has pushed the council toward calling more forcefully for international intervention.

The council is headed by Burhan Ghalioun, a respected secular professor who has been advocating democracy in Syria since the 1970s. His term as president has been renewed on a monthly basis with key support from Muslim Brotherhood members of the Council.

Several ‘neo-Islamists’, who are seen as somewhat more liberal than the Brotherhood, have joined the Syrian Patriotic Group, including Imadeldin Rashid, a preacher who was jailed early in the uprising.

(Editing by Michael Roddy)

#Syria unrest fuels local tensions in Turkey

While Syrian refugees seek intervention to topple Assad, Alawites reject any interference in neighbour’s affairs.


Thousands of Syrians have fled to neighbouring Turkey seeking safety since the government cracked down on protesters. Many of them have been living in refugee camps in towns close to the Syria border for the last eight months.

These refugees are increasingly calling for international intervention in their home country to help topple Bashar al-Assad’s government.

However, many Turkish Alawites - a branch of Shia Islam to which President Assad’s family belongs - living in the city of Antakya have come out against intervention in Syria, calling it “imperialist intervention”.

Al Jazeera’s Anita McNaught reports from the Syrian-Turkey border.

Carnage in #Syria

Published on Monday 20 February 2012 09:35

IT is easy to become disillusioned about the Arab Spring. With the military still in power in Egypt and Libya becoming embroiled in fighting between armed factions following the international intervention there, any hopes of a smooth transition to Arab democracy have long since faded.

To make matters worse, the world is hopelessly divided over what to do about Syria which, as William Hague warned yesterday, is sliding into civil war.

Yet the Foreign Secretary is right to keep the pressure on Damascus in whatever way possible following the shameful decisions of Russia and China to veto the UN Security Council resolution condemning Syrian President Bashar Assad and calling on him to step down.

It is this lack of resolve on the part of the outside world that has directly encouraged Assad to strengthen his murderous assault on the city of Homs, adding to carnage which has claimed 7,000 lives across Syria in the past year.

Yet the impetus for the West to confront Assad arises not merely from the appalling bloodshed.

With Syria occupying a vital position in the Middle East, bordering Israel and allied with Iran, a lengthy civil war would feed religious strife and further destabilise an already dangerous part of the world.

The outside world, therefore, has a duty to its own interests to act, as well as a responsibility to help the civilians being slaughtered daily.

Military action may not be an option, but this should not stop Mr Hague doing all he can to bring the international community together and demonstrate to the world that Syria under Assad has no future.

Gulf states expose #Syria

With the Gulf countries’ recent step, the noose is tightening around the neck of Assad

In a firm move, Gulf states announced that they would withdraw their monitors from Syria thus sending a clear message that the Assad regime has failed to comply with the Arab League’s plan to put an end to the bloody crackdown on protesters. Evidently, the common stand taken by the Gulf countries cannot be more striking. Withdrawing their monitors from Syria is tantamount to saying that the Gulf countries are not going to be part of Assad’s game of buying time while Syrian people are subject to unremitting killing.

It seems that Assad is not in touch with reality. While he has no chance to stay in power as all of his allies in the region are under attack, he still behaves as if he is invincible! He fools nobody but himself when he keeps talking about an external conspiracy that targets his regime.

In a last-ditch attempt to avoid internationalization of the Syrian crisis, the Arab League proposed a road map that states that Assad transfer power to his deputy and a new national government is formed within two months. Presidential and parliamentary elections would be held after that. To the Arabs, this is the best way of curbing violence and averting international intervention. Yet the Syrian regime dismissed it as a “flagrant” violation of Syrian sovereignty.

Against this backdrop, the Gulf states decided to act swiftly by withdrawing all of their monitors (55 of the 165 monitors sent to Syria). Interestingly, Damascus is still employing the same boring false pretexts. Syrian Foreign Minister Walid Moallem assailed the road plan was a “plot” against his country abetted by the Arabs. He added that his country would continue targeting “armed terrorist gangs.” If anything, this last statement indicates clearly that the Syrian regimes has reached the no-return point and that it has no real intention to end the long ten-month bloody crackdown on people.

It is hard to avoid the conclusion that the Syrian crisis is on its way to get internationalized. The Gulf states urged the Security Council to take what it takes to force Assad to relinquish power. But Syria is still relying on two allies in the Security Council - China and Russia - to block any effort to that effect. In his dismissive response to the call for taking the file to the Security Council, Walid Moallem said that Arabs could take the whole file to “New York or to the moon, as long as we don’t have to pay for their ticket…Russia will not agree on the foreign interference in Syria’s internal affairs, and this is a red line.”

With the Gulf countries’ recent step, the noose is tightening around the neck of Assad. They offered him a safe exist from Syria but it seems that he is not the one who calls the shots in Damascus. The security circle around him is looking for a showdown with all. Yet, the Syrian regime does not understand that Russia is open to a new initiative that can force Assad to leave. Russia is against military intervention and the West has affirmed its intentions not to interfere. But Russia cannot protect the isolated regime forever.  Equally important, China has recently signed an oil deal with Saudi Arabia thus getting closer to the Gulf countries’ position while moving away from Iran. In the Arab League’s deliberation on the new road map, Iraq took a positive step by agreeing to the road map. This might be coordinated with Tehran and thus reflecting a new Iranian approach. For sure, this was bad news for the Syrian regime.

All in all, the Arabs have given the regime in Syria every possible chance to put a cap on violence and embark upon genuine reform. Yet, the regime kept the same line dismissing all efforts to end the crisis. Clearly, Assad and his cronies have failed miserably in reading the new changes that have swept the region. Their miscalculation could not be more striking. While stronger regimes fell under the pressure of people, Assad kept thinking that his regime was different and that his allies from within and from without would stand up to a “Western-Zionist” conspiracy. Finally, the Gulf states are fed up and thus they refuse to play the role of a fake witness to the daily killing of Syrians. In brief, the countdown of change in Syria started once Saudi Arabia announced its intention not to take part in the Arab League mission in Syria. Now it remains to be seen how the rest of the Arab countries are going to behave. Can they continue with a plan without an active Gulf participation? I doubt!

It’s Time to Think Seriously About Intervening in #Syria

The conventional wisdom in Washington and beyond is that Bashar al-Assad will fall on his own and that an intervention would be counterproductive, but with thousands dying we need to reconsider those assumptions


A Syrian protester faces security forces near Homs / Reuters

The most stunning thing about how American foreign policy experts and elites talk about Syria today is the one aspect of the country’s crisis that they won’t discuss. There is little to no actual debate about direct international intervention into an uprising and crackdown that has cost more than 5,000 Syrian lives. In response to the Bashar al-Assad regime’s violence against largely peaceful protesters, which leaves dozens of people dead every day, the international community has denounced Damascus “in the strongest possible terms,” as diplomats like to say, placed the country and its leadership under sanction, and searched for additional punitive measures short of the use of force. Oddly, at the same time that the United States, Europe, and the Arab League have apparently rejected meeting Bashar al-Assad’s violence with violence, there is an assumption in Washington that it is only a matter of time before the Syrian regime falls. It is largely a self-serving hunch that does not necessarily conform to what is actually happening in Syria, but nevertheless provides cover for doing nothing to protect people who are at the mercy of a government intent on using brutality to re-establish its authority. After all, if the many Syrians who have been in open revolt since March of last year are on the verge of bringing down Assad, then, as the conventional wisdom has it, there is no need for a international response and thus no need for an agonizing debate about whether to use force in Syria. But this logic seems less convincing every day, and it might be time to reconsider our assumptions about intervention.

If the world wants to see the end of Assad, it will likely require international intervention

Despite the now prevailing belief in policy circles that it’s only a matter of time until Assad falls, events in Syria suggest otherwise. Since last March, thousands upon thousands of Syrians have taken to the streets, initially to demand reform and now the end of the Assad regime, which they clearly regard as unredeemable. Syrians have been willing to face down a fearsome army and security forces that were created, trained, and equipped not for war with Israel but for repression. The economic power of the United States, European Union, and Turkey (The European Union and Turkey had previously accounted for almost 30 percent of Syria’s trade) have applied what was hoped would be crippling sanctions on Assad. There is evidence that these measures have created a range of problems for Syria, including spikes in food and energy prices. Still, sanctions have failed to modify the regime’s approach to the uprising. Indeed, the Syrian leadership has long shown that it is more than willing to force its people to suffer in order to ensure the regime’s survival.

Syrians are persisting in the face of regime violence and there have been defections from the armed forces. Yet only a small number of officers and recruits have switched sides: the anti-regime Free Syrian Army apparently numbers only a few hundred. Unlike in Tunisia or Egypt during the revolutions there, it seems that Syria’s military officers still believe that sticking with Assad best serves their interests. Even the recent terrorist attacks in Damascus, against high-value targets such as the State Security Directorate and the Kfar Sousa district military office, do not appear to have not altered the regime’s strategy. Indeed, Assad vowed to use an iron fist against the perpetrators of the attacks, which the opposition believes was actually committed by the regime seeking an excuse — as if it needed one — to use force against the uprising.

It’s true that Assad is more isolated than ever, but to what effect? The Turks, who, over the course of the last decade, tried to convince the world that the Syrian leader could be flipped through engagement and trade, have given up on him. Even the Arab League, long a club for dictators, suspended Syria’s membership. It was one thing when the organization kicked out Qaddafi’s Libya, but quite another to take similar action against the country that is “the beating heart” of the Arab world, as Syria is sometimes known. Despite the international opprobrium heaped upon Damascus and efforts to isolate the regime, Assad continues to have options. Tehran, Moscow, Beijing, and Hizballah all remain committed to their relationships with Damascus.

Ultimately, it seems that Assad still has bullets left, people to resupply him when his stocks run low, and loyal officers to fire them. What more does he really need? Under what circumstances is Assad’s fall “only a matter of when and not if,” as the foreign policy comminity seems to have decided? The Syrian leader may, in fact, be under pressure, but he also clearly believes that he has time. In his speech to the Syrian people on January 10, he gave no hint that he believes he has a political problem on his hands. That may be posturing for public and international consumption, but unlike earlier speeches Assad did not even bother to promise hollow reforms. He has gone all in, apparently believing that he can continue to kill people with relative impunity. Current international efforts are exacting a toll, but it is clear that Assad and his associates — his family, actually — are willing pay a much higher price for their survival.

If Assad is indeed more secure than the conventional view suggests, then the inevitable question is whether it is time to consider more “robust” responses to the Syrian regime’s outrages. Much of the commentary thus far has focused on why hypothetical interventions — Operation Unified Protector: Syrian Edition or Lift and Strike Damascus — would be bad ideas. Opponents of international intervention argue that the Syrian opposition has not asked for such action, but their non-consent could be changing, given what living (or not) at the mercy of the Assad regime looks like. The opponents also claim that intervention in Syria is likely to be harder than it was in Libya. On a technical level, the argument is specious. There is nothing in the Syrian arsenal that would pose an undefeatable threat to Western aircrews. That’s not to suggest that undertaking military action in Syria would be a “cakewalk,” but relatively recent Israeli incursions into Syrian airspace suggest that in terms of force protection, the risks are minimal. The technical issue is, however, a red herring. Analysts who reject the idea of airstrikes suggest that it could actually do more harm than good, giving Assad an excuse to kill even more people. It is a compelling argument and certainly a downside risk, but what is constraining the Syrian leadership now? Nothing. And, what is the metric that flips the cost-benefit analysis? In other words, at what point in the body count is international intervention deemed to be an acceptably worthwhile option that can have a positive effect on the situation? After Assad has killed 6,000 people? 7,000? 10, 000? 20,000?

The other major objection to taking direct action against Assad is Iraq. There are two versions of this claim. The first indicates that the experience of Iraq was so searing and the impact on Iraq’s neighbors so devastating, that the United States should not repeat the same mistakes now. But why did this claim have so little sway when it came to Libya? Post-Qaddafi Libya is far from perfect and its future is uncertain, but the intervention was nowhere near at costly or destabilizing as the 2003 Iraq invasion. Regardless, it seems that when it comes to Syria, the Obama administration has learned the lessons of Iraq. For example, in contrast to the George W. Bush administration’s march to war in 2002 and 2003, Washington has worked particularly hard to be mindful of regional security concerns, particularly Turkey’s, in Syria.

There are actually few analogies to the Iraq experience. Unlike Saddam at the time of the invasion, Assad is engaged in the mass killing of his own people; unlike Operation Iraqi Freedom, there is a chance that the Arab League would support a humanitarian intervention in Syria, and any military operations could be undertaken multilaterally. Getting a UN Security Council resolution would be tough given Chinese and especially Russian opposition, but without being too Rumsfeldian, does every military intervention require a UN writ? It is certainly preferable, but not a requirement.

Would Syria really be so different from Libya? This is big question that the opponents of intervention in Syria have not effectively answered. European leaders, “right to protect” advocates, members of Congress, and a bevy of foreign policy intellectuals (with a few notable exceptions) seemed willing to unleash NATO on Qaddafi on humanitarian grounds, but not on Assad. If NATO undertook a military attacks to protect Benghazi from an onslaught, what about Homs? At this point, Assad has killed more people than Qadhafi had on the eve of NATO operations. The truth is that the arguments against bombing Syria run into the Libya buzz saw no matter how often people insist that “Syria is not Libya.” One of the real reasons that observers seem reluctant to consider an intervention in Syria may be because Libya took so long to bring Qaddafi down, which was the unstated but unmistakable goal of NATO’s missions. It was supposed to be a matter of weeks, not seven months. Had Qaddafi fallen last April, it’s easy to see how the same political pressure that contributed to Libya’s intervention could have shifted to demand the same approach in Syria.

The arguments for some sort of lift-and-strike-like policy toward Syria are not without their problems. There are good reasons that contemplating yet more Western violence against yet another Muslim country can (and maybe should) bring a certain queasiness. That said, if the international community wants to see the end of the Assad regime, as virtually everyone claims, then it is likely going to require outside intervention. Nothing that anyone has thrown at Damascus has altered its behavior and the current arguments against intervention do not hold up under scrutiny. If there is no intervention and political will to stop Assad’s crimes remains absent, the world will once again have to answer for standing on the sidelines of a mass murder. It is also hard to ignore the possibility that bringing down Assad would advance the long-standing American goal of isolating Iran. Any post-Assad government in Damascus would not likely look to Iran for support, but instead to Turkey and Saudi Arabia. That would be a net benefit for Washington and others looking to limit Iran’s influence in the Arab world.

The wild card in the bomb-Syria-for-humanitarian-reasons argument is what post-Assad Syria might actually look like. Syria has similar ethnic and sectarian complexities as Lebanon and Iraq and there is reason to believe that, in the vicissitudes of politics, these groups might seek to settle scores against one another and to gain advantage through violence. Then again, it is worth asking whether analysts are over-correcting as a result of the American experience in Iraq. Given recent history there, it certainly seems that caution is warranted, but that means leaving Syrians to their fate with a regime which seems intent on shooting and torturing its way out of its present troubles.

Syria has become a place where violence, colonial legacies, the mistakes of the recent past, and the hopes for a better Middle East have collided to create layers of complications and unsettling trade-offs for policymakers and outside observers. Yet wrapping oneself in the false comfort that Assad cannot hang on for long seems like the worst possible way to proceed. Washington and the rest of the international community must come to grips with the idea of intervention in Syria or get used to the idea that Bashar al-Assad could stick around far longer than anyone expects.

Arab League may debate #Syria troops call; U.N. chief tells Assad to “stop killing”

Syrian citizens residing in Morocco demonstrate in Rabat against President Bashar al-Assad. The words on the caricature of Assad read: Bashar the killer. (Reuters)

By Al Arabiya with Agencies
 

The Arab League said a Qatari proposal to send Arab troops to Syria will be discussed this week as the U.N. chief told Bashar al-Assad to “stop killing” his people and the Syrian leader offered an amnesty for “crimes” committed during a 10-month-old revolt against him.

Jabr al-Shoufi, a member of the Syrian National Council, told Al Arabiya that the Syrian regime will prevent by force any Arab troops from entering the country.

Arab League chief Nabil al-Arabi said on Sunday that a ministerial meeting this week could discuss a Qatari proposal to send Arab troops to unrest-hit Syria, where as many as 33 people were killed on Sunday according to Syrian activists.

“All ideas will be open for discussion,” he told reporters in Manama when asked if Saturday’s meeting will debate the proposal by Qatari Emir Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani.

In an interview to be aired on U.S. television, Sheikh Hamad said he favors sending Arab troops to Syria to stop Damascus’ bloody crackdown on 10 months of democracy protests, according to AFP.

Asked if he was in favor of Arab nations intervening in Syria, Qatari Sheikh Hamad told the U.S. broadcaster CBS: “For such a situation to stop the killing … some troops should go to stop the killing.”

The emir, whose country backed last year’s NATO campaign that helped Libyan rebels topple Muammar Qaddafi, is the first Arab leader to call publicly for Arab troops to be deployed in Syria, where the U.N. estimates more than 5,000 people have been killed in the crackdown since mid-March last year.

The comments by the emir, whose wealthy nation once enjoyed cordial ties with Damascus, come with the Arab League set to review the work of its Syria monitoring mission, amid increasing concern about its failure to end the violence.

According to a U.N. official, 400 people have been killed since the beginning of the Arab League mission to the crisis-hit country on Dec. 26.

Former Arab League secretary general Amr Moussa also said on Sunday the League should consider sending troops to Syria.

However, Tunisian President Moncef Marzouki said in an interview published on Sunday he opposed foreign military intervention in Syria, saying it would spark an “explosion” across the entire Middle East.

“Such intervention would signify that the war will spread across the whole region, opening the way to all powers, following the example of Turkey, Israel, Iran and Hezbollah. That would mean the whole region exploding,” he said.

“Stop killing your people”

Meanwhile, the U.N. chief told Assad on Sunday to stop killing his people, according to Reuters.

“Today, I say again to President Assad of Syria: stop the violence, stop killing your people. The path of repression is a dead end,” U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon told a conference in Lebanon on democratic transitions in the Arab world.

“The winds of change will not cease to blow. The flame ignited in Tunisia will not be dimmed,” he added.

Ban’s comments came as Assad announced a general amnesty for crimes committed during the popular unrest that on Sunday entered its eleventh month.

“President Assad issued a decree stipulating a general amnesty for crimes committed during the events between March 15, 2011 and January 15, 2012,” the official SANA news agency reported.

Assad’s amnesty will run to the end of January, covering army deserters and people who possessed illegal arms or had violated laws on peaceful protest, the state news agency SANA said.

Syria’s Addounia television said Arab monitors discussed the amnesty with Damascus police on Sunday.

Opponents of Assad said the amnesty was meaningless because most detainees were held without charge in secret police or military facilities with no due process or legal documentation.

“The problem is not those who have reached trial or have been sentenced to terms in civic jails but those who are imprisoned and we don’t know where they are or anything about them,” said Kamal Labwani, who was freed last month after six years as a political prisoner and is now in Jordan.

The Arab League’s Syria committee, whose Qatari chairman has said the observer mission has failed to staunch the bloodshed, will discuss a report by the monitors on Friday, Egypt’s MENA news agency said.

The Cairo-based League will not send any more monitors to Syria before the Arab foreign ministers meet next Sunday, MENA said.

Anti-Assad protests began in March inspired by a wave of popular anger against autocratic rulers sweeping the Arab world.

Assad has issued several amnesties since the start of protests, but opposition groups say thousands of people remain behind bars and many have been tortured or abused.

Freeing detainees

The Avaaz campaign group said on Dec. 22 at least 69,000 people had been detained since the start of the uprising, of whom 32,000 had been released.

Freeing detainees was one of the terms of an Arab League peace plan which also called for an end to bloodshed, the withdrawal of troops and tanks from the streets and a political dialogue.

The movement to end more than four decades of Assad family rule began with largely peaceful demonstrations, but after months of violence by the security forces, army deserters and insurgents started to fight back, prompting fears of civil war.

China and Russia have blocked any action against Syria by the U.N. Security Council. The United States, the European Union and the Arab League have announced economic sanctions, although it is not clear if the Arab measures have been implemented.

Turkey, whose foreign minister was in Beirut at the weekend, has also imposed sanctions on Syria after the violence prompted it to turn against a neighbor it had once courted assiduously.

British Foreign Secretary William Hague said he hoped more sanctions on Syria could be agreed in the next 10 days or so, referring to a Jan. 23 meeting of EU foreign ministers.

In an interview with Sky News television, Hague also questioned the sincerity of Assad’s amnesty offer and said he hoped the Arab League would refer Syria to the United Nations if the monitoring mission failed to halt the violence.

He dismissed the idea of a no-fly zone in Syria, saying there was no chance for now of Security Council approval for such action, which was not necessarily appropriate anyway.

“It’s not primarily by flying aircraft that the Assad regime is repressing its people,” Hague said.

Why won’t the U.N. Security Council intervene in #Syria?

United Nations (CNN) — Last year, the U.N. Security Council authorized “all necessary measures” to stop the violence when the nation in question was Libya. It has come nowhere close to that on Syria, where the United Nations estimates more than 5,000 people have been killed since March. Why?

Diplomats say the answer is simple: Russia. Tensions between Russia and the other permanent members of the Security Council have always been a factor. But diplomats say that Russia’s conduct in its refusal to condemn Syria, or even negotiate on resolutions in good faith, have reached new lows.

At this point, the only way Western diplomats believe the Security Council will be able to pass a resolution on Syria is with a request for intervention from the Arab League. Russia and China abstained from the vote on Libya after the Arab League and the African Union requested UN involvement in that country.

In October, Russia and China issued a rare double veto of a sanction-less resolution that would have condemned the violence in Syria.

Though China joined Russia in its veto on Syria, and India, Brazil and South Africa abstained, diplomats say that it is Russia that has been taking the lead in opposition to action.

In Russia’s view, NATO overstepped the Security Council’s mandate in Libya, and they fear a similar mistake being made in Syria. Though Western diplomats insist they have not proposed anything approaching military intervention, Russia insists that the Syria crisis should be solved internally.

“I think Libya has been beat to death, overused and misused as an excuse for countries not to take up their responsibilities with respect to Syria,” Susan Rice, U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, said.

Last month, Russian U.N. Ambassador Vitaly Churkin pushed the Security Council to open an investigation into civilian deaths in Libya. European and American diplomats immediately called foul.

“Is everybody sufficiently distracted from Syria now?” Rice asked the media after a meeting called by Russia. “Let us see this for what it is. That this is duplicative, it’s redundant, it’s superfluous, and it’s a stunt.”

“This is not the kind of issue which can be drowned in expletives,” Churkin countered the next day. “You cannot beat a Stanford education, can you?” referring to Rice’s alma mater, saying she should be “more Victorian.”

Shortly thereafter, Rice’s communications director tweeted a picture of Churkin’s face superimposed on the Grinch, with the text “rough day at the Security Council.” (Churkin later said that he “thought it was a nice joke.”)

Despite Rice’s high-profile tit-for-tat with Churkin, it is the four European countries on the Security Council, not the United States, that have taken the lead on issues Libya and Syria.

Those countries — France, Germany, Portugal and the United Kingdom — have expressed deep frustration at Russia’s scuttling of attempts at a resolution.

In December, Russia held the rotating presidency of the council, which gave it significant power to determine the agenda. Diplomats complained of having to fight tooth and nail for even routine briefings.

A senior Western diplomat said that Churkin routinely interrupted other diplomats and cut off debate. Churkin’s conduct was “outrageous” and “disrespectful,” the diplomat said, who had “never seen anything like the atmosphere in the Security Council now.”

Western Diplomats admit that Russia has been using its close relationship with Syria to apply pressure on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. But their criticism of Churkin’s conduct at the Security Council is unequivocal.

“Churkin is practicing shoe diplomacy,” another senior Western diplomat said, referring to Soviet Premier Nikita Krushchev’s famous shoe-banging speech in the General Assembly.

“Russia and Syria are the last two members of the Warsaw Pact, and Russia is behaving in an imperialistic manner,” another Western diplomat said.

Churkin does not disagree that the mood is contentious. But he says that the root cause is a “my way or the highway” attitude. He called December the toughest of his five separate month-long terms at the helm of the Security Council.

“There is a lot of nervousness, a lot of expectations that things are going to be done my way or no other way,” Churkin said. “That what I need to have, I must have now. … I think that if this trend were to continue it might seriously hurt the ability of the Security Council to work.”

Russia surprised even its allies last month when it introduced its own draft resolution condemning the violence in Syria. Publicly, Western diplomats seemed encouraged by the move but privately were deep cynical.

Western Diplomats said Russia had expected the Europeans and Americans to reject the draft out of hand, because it did not include some of the provisions they consider non-negotiable. (And, for example, they say it drew an unacceptable equivalence between violence perpetrated by the government and violence perpetrated by protesters.)

Since then, Western diplomats say that Russia has not engaged in negotiation on their proposed additions.

They also complain that Churkin has misrepresented to the media the content of closed Security Council meetings. He claims productive work on the draft Syria resolution, they say, when in fact he has been stonewalling.

“We are working all the time,” Churkin said Tuesday of Russia’s draft resolution.

They have not held a single negotiation on the text since Christmas, Western diplomats say.

Western diplomats admit that when it comes to Syria, they are at a “dead end.” The only way around it — the “only game in town,” as French U.N. Ambassador Gerard Araud says — is the Arab League.

The Arab League has a group of observers in Syria, who were sent there to gauge the situation on the ground. Their report is expected on January 19.

If that report is unequivocal about the Syrian government’s culpability — an outcome Western diplomats admit is a long shot — then they may have enough political capital to push forward. And in-person briefing from the Qatari prime minister, who has been very outspoken on Syria, or the secretary general of the Arab League, may help to push Russia, they say.

The Arab League report, a Western diplomat said, is a necessary condition for action. But it may not be sufficient.

Russia Says West Planning No-Fly Zone in #Syria to Protect Rebels

Russia received information that members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and some Persian Gulf countries are preparing military intervention in Syria, the head of the Russian Security Council said.

Turkey, a NATO member, may play a key role, Nikolai Patrushev, who is also a former director of the Federal Security Service, told Interfax in comments confirmed by his office. The U.S. and Turkey are working on the possibility of creating a no- fly zone to protect Syrian rebels, Patrushev said.

“We are receiving information that NATO members and some Persian Gulf states, working under the ‘Libyan scenario’, intend to move from indirect intervention in Syria to direct military intervention,” the Russian security chief said.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said yesterday that the Arab League monitoring mission in Syria should end after failing to deter the government’s 10-month campaign of violence against dissidents. She spoke after meeting Qatari Foreign Minister, Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jabor al Thani, a day after President Barack Obama held talks with Saudi Foreign Minister Saud al-Faisal at the White House.

Russia, which has Soviet-era ties with Syria, argues that the UN-sanctioned bombing of Libya by the NATO was used to bring about regime change and that Western governments are trying to repeat that scenario in Syria.

The West is putting pressure on Syria because the country refuses to break off its alliance with Iran rather than for repressing the opposition, said Patrushev, who served with Prime Minister Vladimir Putin in the Soviet-era KGB.

Turkish Involvement?

“This time, it won’t be France, the U.K. and Italy that will provide the main strike forces, but perhaps neighboring Turkey, which was until recently on good terms with Syria and is a rival of Iran with immense ambitions,” Patrushev said.

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad rejected calls for his resignation on Jan. 10, accusing “foreign conspiracies” of aiming to divide his country. Unrest in Syria since March 2011 has claimed more than 5,000 lives, according to the United Nations.

The Arab League imposed sanctions on Syria on Nov. 27. Russia and China have blocked efforts by the U.S. and the European Union for the UN Security Council to condemn the crackdown.

To contact the reporters on this story: Henry Meyer in Moscow at hmeyer4@bloomberg.net; Ilya Arkhipov in Moscow at iarkhipov@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Balazs Penz at bpenz@bloomberg.net

Analysis - #Syria opposition split raises calls for foreign

BEIRUT (Reuters) - The collapse of a deal between Syria’s two main opposition factions shows that voices calling for foreign intervention to topple President Bashar al-Assad have gained the upper hand over those opposing it.

But the quick unraveling of the pact, which ruled out such international action, ensures that achieving that goal will remain elusive since Western powers are loath to throw their weight behind a fractured Syrian opposition.

Wary of the risks of engendering chaos and wider Middle East conflict given Syria’s internal sectarian divisions and Assad’s alliance with Iran, NATO says it has no plans to intervene as it did to back Libyan rebels who toppled Muammar Gaddafi last year.

And neighboring Turkey, Assad’s former ally, has said any intervention must be backed by the U.N. Security Council with Arab League support, must be justified on humanitarian grounds and not have regime change as its goal.

Ten days ago Burhan Ghalioun, head of the mostly exiled Syrian National Council (SNC), signed an accord with the mainly Syrian-based National Coordination Body (NCB) outlining a transition to a democratic post-Assad Syria.

The agreement rejected “any military intervention that harms the sovereignty or stability of the country,” while leaving the door open for an Arab role to stop Assad’s military crackdown on protests in which 5,000 people have died, by a U.N. count.

But members of Ghalioun’s own council denounced the deal, forcing him to disavow it. Many grassroots protesters inside Syria also rejected it, saying they had lost hope that 10 months of peaceful demonstrations - now accompanied by an armed insurgency in some regions - would bring down Assad.

“The paper has been cancelled after pressure from members of the council. Some threatened to resign,” said SNC member Khaled Kamal. “Ghalioun signed it without the knowledge of council members, so after consultation he withdrew his signature.”

SNC members were holding a meeting in Turkey on Monday to draft their own road map for change and were expected to decide whether to replace Ghalioun as council chief.

The NCB rejects foreign intervention, seeking instead a political agreement for a transitional government to replace Assad, a path it says would save Syria from disintegrating along sectarian and ethnic lines.

Kamal said many SNC members had originally shared the NCB’s rejection of an intervention such as a no-fly zone or buffer zone to protect Syrian civilians. “But now all roads are blocked and the political solution did not work,” he said.

“After ten months and after we knocked on all doors… foreign intervention is the only choice before us,” he said, adding that the SNC will begin a campaign to get recognition as the only opposition group representing the mass demonstrations.

COUNCIL SEEKS FOREIGN ROLE

The protests, driven by anger and frustration at corruption, poverty and lack of freedoms over 41 years of autocratic Assad family rule, have been mainly peaceful, though rights groups say the death toll among protesters now exceeds 5,000.

The revolt has become bloodier as protests have become overshadowed by armed rebels taking the fight to the security forces. Syria says it is fighting Islamist militants who it blames for killing 2,000 of its security forces and soldiers.

The National Council, ignoring Ghalioun’s concerns of possible civil war, wants to give a bigger role for the rebel Free Syrian Army that has been attacking security forces.

It is also seeking international steps to prevent Assad using warplanes against popular unrest and to create a buffer zone on the Turkish border, which would provide the FSA a base to escalate attacks on Assad’s forces.

Such views are echoed among many activists in flashpoint cities such as Homs and Hama who say Arab League monitors assessing whether Damascus is complying with a plan to end violence are toothless and will not protect civilians.

“The best thing they can do for us is to refer Syria to the (U.N.) Security Council,” said an activist called Ahmad.

Khalaf Dahowd, a member of the executive bureau of the National Coordination Body, said he had no sense during meetings held with foreign officials that the international community was ready to step in.

“Syria has strong allies. The Russians told us we will not use one veto - we will use 20 vetoes in the Security Council,” he said. Assad is backed by Iran and the powerful Shi’ite Muslim Lebanese militant group Hezbollah. He also has allies in Russia and China, which have blocked Western-generated draft resolutions against Damascus at the U.N. Security Council.

“We are against the militarization of the revolution because it justifies the oppression and the use of force. Tens of people are getting killed now but if the revolution becomes a military one then hundreds will be killed,” Dahowd said.

“Syria is a country of many sects and ethnicities. Foreign intervention will break the social infrastructure of Syria and its political borders,” he said.

Already many analysts and officials have warned that the increasingly lethal armed confrontations could tip Syria into a sectarian civil war, pitting majority Sunni Muslims against Assad’s minority Alawite sect, an offshoot of Shi’ite Islam.

RIFTS, MISTRUST EXPOSED

Years of oppression under Assad’s late father, Hafez al-Assad, have fragmented a Syrian opposition that includes liberals, Arab nationalists, Islamists and Kurds.

The Islamist Muslim Brotherhood, whose armed revolt was crushed with up to 30,000 deaths by the elder Assad in the city of Hama in 1982, is believed to be a major force among those in the Sunni majority keen to throw off domination by Alawites.

Over the years Syria’s intelligence agents have worked tirelessly to divide the various opposition groups, playing on their rivalries to plant seeds of doubt among them and leaving a legacy of suspicion still evident in their responses to a grassroots uprising which they played little role in creating.

“Many of the members of the Coordination Body are agents of the Syrian regime and some are scared of the regime because many of them are inside Syria,” said Kamal of the National Council.

Privately other opposition figures level similar accusations against the SNC, saying it is riddled with “agents of Assad.”

An opposition source familiar with talks held with Western officials said that the officials spelled out to each group they met that the Syrian opposition should unite and that none of the groups could claim to be the main opposition movement.

A Syrian opposition figure in Damascus who refused to be named said: “There is opposition inside Syria that nobody should ignore. The (National) Council is not the only representative of the opposition.

“Even if they rejected the deal at the end of the day the opposition has no alternative (but) to sit down and talk. They must agree. The Council is crazy to think the United Nations is going to recognize them now,” he said.

(Editing by Dominic Evans and Mark Heinrich)

#Syria’s protesters are on their own

While Arab League monitors have failed to stop the bloodshed, this may be preferable to protracted talks about political ‘reform’

A protest against Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad. Photograph: Reuters

The Arab League’s much-heralded meeting to review the “progress” of its monitoring operation in Syria came and went on Sunday with barely a whimper. A few more monitors will be sent but unless Syria agrees to an extension, which seems unlikely, the mission will end on 19 January with the presentation of a report.

It’s difficult to see where the league can go from there, except by admitting failure and passing its files to the United Nations.

When the Assad regime accepted the league’s peace plan last month, after weeks of prevarication, it agreed to end the violence against peaceful protests, withdraw the army from towns, release political prisoners and start a dialogue with the opposition. The ill-prepared monitors were then sent in to assess its compliance.

The regime’s insincerity about this was never in much doubt. Apart from some token gestures it has made no real effort to comply, and the killings and arrests have continued. At the same time, though, the presence of monitors does seem to have emboldened the protesters and helped to keep Syria in the headlines.

Despite all that, the failure of the Arab League’s initiative may be preferable to its success. Had there been more progress, the result would have been protracted talks about political “reform”.

The fact is that the Syrian regime cannot reform – at least, not to the extent that would be required – without destroying its own support base. Negotiating with the regime at this late stage would not lead to a workable solution. It would simply create a diversion and throw President Assad a temporary lifeline.

That, more or less, is what has already happened in Yemen where the Gulf Cooperation Council’s “transition” plan has stymied a revolution. Though the “transition” may result in President Saleh leaving office and being confined to the sidelines, its overall effect is to prevent radical change by preserving the status quo.

Considering that the Yemen plan was orchestrated by one of the world’s most autocratic and conservative countries, Saudi Arabia, nobody should be surprised by the results. Nor should anyone expect that the Arab League – still, in essence, a dictators’ club noted for an inability to get its act together – can do any better in bringing change to Syria.

Lack of headway on the diplomatic front inevitably leads to talk of military action – a course also favoured by some of the Syrian opposition. One recent report, from the Washington Institute, looks at a variety of options (including a no-fly zone) while another, from the Henry Jackson society, favours creating a safe haven in the north of Syria.

While both reports favour military intervention, neither makes a particularly convincing case. They both acknowledge considerable risks and the Washington Institute’s report ends rather feebly by saying military intervention “should be carefully considered, not avoided altogether”. If this is the most that two thinktanks with neocon tendencies can come up with, then it’s probably a non-starter.

Although the arguments about protecting civilians during the Libyan uprising can also be applied to Syria, there are major differences in terms of practicalities. The opposition Syrian National Council explains them in a report which urges the US and its allies to “consider carefully the potential costs and unintended consequences of further intervention in Syria”.

The reality, harsh as it may be, is that there is very little that outsiders can usefully do to help the Syrian uprising beyond isolating the Assad regime as much as possible. This does not mean the revolution is doomed but it does mean the protesters will have to depend mainly on their own resources. In the long run, that could be beneficial if it eventually produces a government that is self-reliant and relatively independent of foreign influences.

The cost in human lives is certainly high, and it could get worse. But beneath the surface, the picture is shifting gradually but surely in the protesters’ direction. The regime is in deepening financial trouble and its authority is crumbling. As Syria watcher Joshua Landis noted on his blog:

“What we are witnessing … is not the clash of two titanic and centralised bodies: the state and the opposition. Instead, we are seeing the steady erosion of state authority and national institutions, as the opposition, which remains largely organised on a local basis, undermines central authority at many points.”

The question is no longer whether the regime will fall, but when.

Syrian defectors call for international help #Syria

AKKAR, Lebanon — Under cover of darkness, in a shabby rented house in the northern Lebanese mountains, a dozen Syrian men huddle round a wood stove, candlelight flickering on their drawn faces.

All of them claim to be defected soldiers, who were forced to conduct operations against a widespread protest movement before fleeing the army. They said they escaped over the border into the relative safety of Lebanon, where they joined the Free Syrian Army.

This loose collection of defectors and armed civilians claims thousands of members and posts footage of attacks on military infrastructure on Facebook. But the men in north Lebanon, all of them Sunni Muslims, said that they lived in poverty and secrecy, numbering a few hundred at most, and had limited access to weapons, prompting questions about the capability of the organization to have a substantial impact on well-armed and organized Alawite-led Syrian security forces.

“The arms we have are what we defected with, or things that we steal from the other side,” said one, who added that he had been a private in the army. They receive no international help and had been visited by no military attaches, they said, although they would take arms, money or supplies from almost anyone if they offered it.

The defectors have won grudging support from the Syrian National Council, the most prominent political group calling for the fall of President Bashar al-Assad. The council recognized the FSA’s “honorable role in protecting the peaceful Revolution of our people” in a statement last month.

And they have garnered more enthusiastic approval from other Syrian dissidents — who carry banners with the group’s name at demonstrations and chant for them, calling on them to protect civilians from security forces, and hoping the group could one day present a challenge to the military.

One defector, who said he had been a second lieutenant and showed military identification, said that there were about 500 defected soldiers in north Lebanon, working with about 200 on the other side of the border. He said the men took turns to cross the border on foot, along old smuggling routes through newly-laid minefields into Syria.

They do not carry weapons across the border, he said, because to do so would risk execution if they were captured. But they do collect weapons from family and clan members over the border, he said, and spend a few days or weeks in the country, attending protests in the town of Tal Kalakh and surrounding villages to provide some protection from the heavy presence of security forces.

All of the soldiers who had gathered in the Lebanese mountains said they were from the town of Tal Kalakh. They had been deployed across the country, but all fled to their home town when they defected. Thus far, they said, relatively few soldiers had joined the group, simply because they were afraid of the consequences.

Under orders from their superiors, the men said, the defectors have suspended offensive operations over the past two weeks, during a visit to Syria by a monitoring team from the Arab League. They receive orders via a commanding officer from defected Col. Riad al-Asaad, who leads the group from southern Turkey.

The Arab League mission had been to oversee the implementation of an agreement by the government to end the use of deadly force against protests, withdraw soldiers from cities and free political prisoners. On Thursday, however, Col. Malik Kurdi, an assistant to Asaad, said the defectors would now escalate their operations because the Syrian authorities were continuing their military operations.

The soldiers in Lebanon expressed frustration with the work of the Arab League mission, pointing out that activists have reported hundreds of people have died in protests and clashes across the country, despite the presence of observers.

Sectarian divisions dominated the armed forces, they said. All of the men there were Sunni, and they had been closely watched in their work by soldiers and informal militias, known as shabiha, from the Alawite sect of the president’s family. It was these Alawites who ensured that soldiers followed orders, which included shooting on protesters with live bullets.

Their accounts matched more than 60 interviews with defectors in a recent report by the New York-based Human Rights Watch, which provided detailed evidence of high-level orders to fire on unarmed civilian protesters, said the group’s Middle East director, Sarah Leah Whitson.

“What we hear from soldiers is fear, fear of retribution,” she said, citing an incident in Jabal Zawiya in Idlib province on Dec. 20 in which more than 100 soldiers were reportedly killed after attempting to defect.

“I hear — not just from soldiers, but also from diplomats — that we’re not seeing defections because the Assad regime has made sure that their family members always remain in the country,” and people fear their families will be harmed if they desert their posts, Whitson said. Although they are relatively safe in Lebanon, the men fear being caught and deported by Lebanese security forces, so they move about only at night.

Unlike in an uprising in Libya that eventually swept Moammar Gaddafi from power, she added, where large parts of the armed forces defected en masse and fled to the opposition stronghold of Benghazi, there is no safe area for Syrian soldiers easily to escape to.

The Free Syrian Army and parts of the Syrian opposition have called for the swift creation of a safe zone, patrolled by an international military force along Syria’s northern border with Turkey. If soldiers had somewhere to go, large chunks of the army would defect, the men in north Lebanon said.

However, that remains a distant prospect, said Henri Barkey, a professor of international relations at Lehigh University in Pennsylvania, who said that Turkish authorities believe that Assad will fall, but are unwilling to intervene directly.

“The Turks see [the Free Syrian Army] as a useful tool,” Barkey said. “They assume that these guys are part of the ultimate picture that is going to emerge,” as shown by Turkish authorities allowing the group’s commander to remain in Turkey. “But they don’t want to get involved too deeply because it’s too risky for them at the moment.”

For now, the defectors continue on their missions. As some of them spoke animatedly, a few others excused themselves, saying that they were heading across the border later that night. At least two had been killed in minefields in the last week, they said, offering names and military identification numbers as proof.

“But when we have funerals for the martyrs,” said the second lieutenant, “we don’t grieve, but we congratulate each other on the honor. This is what makes the soldiers so determined.”

The Arab League mission to #Syria isn’t just a failure, it’s an accomplice to Assad’s crimes

A sign in Kafranbel, Syria

Kafranbel, Syria has some remarkable residents. “NATO leaders!” reads one revolutionary sign in the city, “if the Libyans could pay oil for you, we will sell our houses to cover the cost”. Another placard calls for the “construction of 5-star hotel to attract the Arab monitors.” Then there’s the sign wielded by a little girl already versed in the quandaries of ancient philosophy: “We demand observers to observe the observers while they observe!”

Whatever you think of the idea of humanitarian intervention in Syria (an argument that evidently makes the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, the head of the Free Syrian Army and the French Foreign Minister all neoconservatives), or about the very real and tragic plight of Christian minorities in the Middle East, you ought to consider the following:

The Arab League delegation was only sent into the country after the Assad regime negotiated the terms of its remit, and it is held in such low regard by the Syrian people because the organisers have made insultingly little effort to mask the true intention of their Potemkin farce.

The delegation is headed by General Mohammad Ahmed Mustafa al-Dabi, the former head of Sudan’s military intelligence service and the founder of Omar al-Bashir’s genocidal janjaweed militias in Darfur. As one Syrian human rights campaigner aptly described this appointment, it is like “a rapist … act[ing] as a forensic expert assistant while examining the victim”.

Last week, al-Dabi visited the battleground city of Homs and reported that he didn’t see “anything frightening,” no tanks but “some armored vehicles.” Here are the orange-jacketed monitors in Homs standing right in front… a tank.

In this video, protestors in the Baba Amr neighbourhood of Homs did al-Dabi the favour of laying the corpse of a slain boy on top of a League vehicle, complete with the spent cartridges used by regime forces to kill him. Though I suppose this is no more frightening to the godfather of Sudanese genocidaires than a football match played with human skulls would be to the Khmer Rouge.

Then in this video Baba Amr resident Khalid Abou Salah explains to al-Dabi that his remit is the problem in itself and that the delegation hasn’t ended the murder of civilians. Al-Dabi tells Salah to hang in there and believe in “dialogue.” Salah is unimpressed and responds that once the delegation leaves an area, the shooting starts up again. Sure enough, al-Dabi and his team eventually quit Baba Amr. Here’s what happened.

The Secretary-General of the Arab League, Nabil al-Araby, actually gained some credibility several months ago for suspending Syria’s membership and even hinting at a Libya-style humanitarian intervention. But he has lately shown himself and his organisation to be guardians not of besieged civilians but of the defunct status quo of Arab authoritarianism. What al-Araby is saying about the fundamental legitimacy of his mission amounts to the old saw about not being able to make an omelette without breaking a few eggs. When Panaït Istrati toured the Soviet Union in the 1920s, he famously replied to that: “All right, I can see all the broken eggs. Now where’s this omelette of yours?” The people of Kafranbel might ask the same.

#Syria’n opposition groups join hands to chart ‘transition period’ should Assad regime fall

Two major Syrian opposition forces have come together and signed an accord which sets out rules for a transitional period as and when the regime is toppled. (Reuters)

Two major Syrian opposition forces have come together and signed an accord which sets out rules for a transitional period as and when the regime is toppled. (Reuters)

By Al Arabiya with Agencies
 

The Syrian National Council (SNC) opposition group has signed a political agreement with another faction of dissidents laying the ground rules for a “transitional period” should the regime be toppled, a statement said.

The SNC, a major umbrella of factions opposed to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, signed the deal with the National Coordination Body for Democratic Change in Syria, NCB chief Hassan Abdel Azim told AFP on Saturday.

According to the statement received by AFP in Nicosia, the NCB and the SNC signed an agreement “which sets out the political and democratic rules for the transitional period,” should Assad be ousted by a pro-democracy uprising that erupted in March.

The accord also “determines the important parameters for Syria’s future which aspire to ensure that the homeland and every citizen’s rights are treated with dignity, and for the foundation of a civil democratic state,” according to an English-language text from the NCB.

The deal was signed late Friday in Cairo by SNC chief Burhan Ghalioun and the NCB’s Haytham Manna and “will be deposited as an official document with the Arab League” on January 1, said the statement.

Speaking to AFP from Damascus, NCB chief Abdel Azim said the agreement underscores the need for the opposition to close ranks in a bid to fend off any foreign intervention in the country.

“Opposition factions inside and outside Syria must unite their efforts,” he said.

“A common political vision is needed to ensure a total change in Syria and achieve the goals of the peaceful revolution to avoid the dangers of foreign military intervention,” he added.

The SNC is a coalition of 230 members, including the banned Muslim Brotherhood and liberal figures who are determined to end Assad’s 11-year autocratic rule. Only 100 of its members live in Syria.

The NCB is an umbrella group of Arab nationalist figures, socialists, independents, Marxists and also comprises members of Syria’s minority Kurdish community. The coalition is staunchly opposed to any international military intervention.

The agreement, posted on the Internet, calls for the protection of civilians in Syria, where a government crackdown on dissent has left more than 5,000 people dead since March according to U.N. estimates.

It also opposes foreign military intervention and says “the transition period starts with the fall of the regime and all its symbols.”

The pact voices support for the so-called dissident Free Syrian Army that has been battling regular army troops.

No let up in violence

As many as 38 people were shot dead by the Syrian security forces, Al Arabiya reported on Friday citing Syrian activists at the Local Coordination Committees.

Syrian forces were accused of firing nail bombs Friday to disperse protesters as tens of thousands of people flooded streets across the country to make their voices heard to Arab monitors, according to AFP.

Friday also saw more than 100,000 protesters stage a sit-in in Douma as the Arab observers toured the city, Syrian activists said.

The Arab League mission has been tainted by some controversy, with some opposition members unhappy with the head of the observers General Mohammed Ahmed Mustafa al-Dabi — a veteran Sudanese military intelligence officer.

For some, Dabi is a controversial figure because he served under Sudan’s President Omar al-Bashir who is wanted by the International Criminal Court for alleged war crimes committed in Darfur region.

“The observers must remain in the cities they visit to protect civilians,” said prominent human rights lawyer Haytham Maleh who is also a member of the main opposition Syrian National Council.

Around 66 monitors are currently in Syria but there are plans to deploy between 150 and 200 observers.
#Syria: Arab League attacked for ignoring scale of violence

An Arab League peace mission to Syria was in crisis on Wednesday night, attacked by opposition activists for failing to get to grips with the scale of the violence even as more people were shot dead in fighting.

Protesters demonstrate in Homs Photo: AFP/GETTY

Lt Gen Mohammed Ahmed Mustapha al-Dabi, head of the mission, described the city of Homs, where it is thought more than 1,000 people have been killed, as being “nothing frightening”, although he conceded “some places looked a bit of a mess”.

At one point, the opposition denied a group of monitors entry the besieged rebel enclave of Baba Amr because their security detail included a lieutenant colonel from the Syrian army.

Eventually he agreed to step aside, but activists later claimed that the group had been unable to visit a secret Assad detention facility because of an outburst of gunfire nearby.

The opposition said that the mission was losing credibility. Radwan Ziadeh, a Syrian academic in exile and member of the Syrian National Council, said it did not have the “capacity or experience” to stop what was going on.

“What’s needed is international intervention,” he said. “We need a buffer zone along the Turkish borders where the situation is still escalating.

Maybe the UN has to declare some ‘safe cities.’”

During the course of the day, the second of the mission’s visit to Homs, the Assad regime ordered the release of 755 political prisoners, apparently in an attempt to stop the visit falling apart completely.

State television said prisoners who had been involved in anti-regime protests but “whose hands were not stained with Syrian blood” had been released. The release of political prisoners was one of the terms of the peace deal agreed between Syria and the Arab League whose implementation the monitoring mission is supposed to be overseeing.

However, activists and human rights groups say tens of thousands of people – estimates range from 15,000 to over 30,000 – remain behind bars having been detained since the start of the uprising.

Other terms of the deal included the withdrawal of the army from the streets and negotiations with the opposition. Since neither of these has happened, many opposition leaders have called the mission’s visit pointless at best and at worst a means for President Bashir al-Assad to play for time while continuing his military assault on rebellious districts of the country.

Bab al-Amr was subjected to a four-day attack by troops and tanks, some of it captured on video posted online, which lasted until Monday, the eve of the mission’s visit to the city.

On Tuesday, tens of thousands of protesters attending a funeral attempted to reach the city centre to meet the mission, but were turned back by troops with tear gas, and some live fire. Instead, individual protesters attempted to make their points to the mission’s delegates.

There was angry reaction to footage of one delegate appearing to turn away and light a cigarette as a man urged him to report the presence of snipers.

One monitor appeared to refuse to accompany a protester who wanted to show him the scene of a “slaughter”, though another was seen on video being shown by a woman the bloodstains where her son had been shot.

Lt Gen Dabi appeared to play down the significance of what the monitors had seen.

“Some places looked a bit of a mess but there was nothing frightening,” he added. “Yesterday was quiet and there were no clashes. We did not see tanks but we did see some armoured vehicles. But remember this was only the first day and it will need investigation.”

Activists estimate that around a third of the 5,000 protesters, civilians and opposition forces who have died in the uprising were killed in Homs.

France, which has become increasingly critical of the regime, issued an implicit criticism of Lt Gen Dabi’s approach.

“The brevity of their stay did not allow them to appreciate the reality of the prevailing situation yesterday in Homs,” a foreign ministry spokesman said. “The Arab League monitors must be able to return quickly to this martyred city and be able to move freely and have all necessary contact with the population.”

Meanwhile, in Hama, another restive city which the mission was due to visit on Thursday, the army opened fire on protesters, killing at least six, according to local activists. Two died in Homs itself, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.