#Syria Al-Assad’s businessmen have defected

12/05/2012

By Hussein Shabokshi

Successive news reports have been leaked about the meeting that was held in the Damascus presidential palace and chaired by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, in the presence of his brother-in-law and Syrian Deputy Defense Minister, Assef Shawkat, and a carefully selected group of the most prominent businessmen in Syria. This was an extremely tense and stormy meeting which represented a humiliation of the Syrian businessmen who were subject to explicit violent threats that required no interpretation, namely that either these businessmen and merchants clearly and explicitly support the regime and comprehensively refuse to support or finance the revolution or face the consequences!

Dire threats of the complete destruction of Damascus were issued. The threats included the historical and commercial district of al-Hamaidiya and the well-known Gates of Damascus, which would all be destroyed and levelled to the ground in the same manner as the Baba Amr district of Homs, and in the same manner that the famous district of Kelaniya was destroyed and witnessed horrible and bloody massacres in the 1980s.

The al-Assad regime had established strong, sensitive, precise, strategic and long-lasting relations with Syria’s businessmen and industrial sector whereby the regime was keen to offer them “benefits” in order to secure their support for the future.

The regime knew that the Syrian character has been one that is “based” and indeed completely “absorbed” in trade from time immemorial. In fact, trade is a primary part of the character, identity and history of the Syrian people, and so a Syrian person anywhere - whether at home or overseas - is known for his excessively pragmatic handling of issues in certain situations and whenever necessary. Hence, al-Assad, both the father and the son, have exploited this idea and skilfully drawn upon it. They would often bring businessmen into their inner circle, urging them to benefit from Syria’s closed market economy in order to make substantial profits. This all was happening in a climate where genuine competition was absent, whilst employment and other business issues could be fixed or resolved by government intervention. Yet, this state of affairs cost these businessmen dearly, whether in the form of funding and supporting numerous prominent influential figures and their lifestyle, or in the form of funding government officials’ private projects for unknown security and intelligence purposes.

It is well known that illustrious and prominent Syrian merchants and businessmen are working - behind their amiable facades - to the advantage of well-known officials, in what can be seen as marriage of convenience, however a marriage that lacks customs, laws and system because for these businessmen, the end justifies the means. This is why al-Assad is today witnessing an increasing number of businessmen defecting from the regime; a phenomenon that did not receive the same media coverage given to the defections from the al-Assad regime’s army.

Businessmen, merchants and manufacturers now are backing the revolution and are offering financial and spiritual aid, whilst others have fled the country and are attempting to pressure the regime, either via media appearances or by publicly siding with the governments championing the Syrian revolution. Others have preferred to work secretly from outside the country, continuing to serve as a useful aid to the revolution in a number of different ways.

Capital, by its very nature, searches for a partner in government that can guarantee its safety. Yet, we must not overlook the fact that any situation must have a category of beneficiaries, and so the danger, insults, humiliation and the exorbitant cost which the Syrian business sector have had to pay – especially when considering this category as one that is accustomed to “calculating” issues beforehand – have all caused businessmen to discover that they are now facing a losing proposition. Hence, for them, the entire issue needs to be reconsidered. This was a good reason for the regime’s current “hysteria”, for it is now receiving blows from all sides, both domestically and abroad. Aleppo and Damascus - the most important economic bases in Syria – have also risen against the regime after the agricultural sector and villagers in Homs, Hamah, Deraa and Deir al-Zour previously did so.

The economic defections will serve as a new source of pressure against the regime and will thwart its ability to manage the economy. This represents a genuine dilemma for the Syrian regime whose options are disappearing and whose support base is shrinking.

In the early months of the revolution, the regime attempted to seriously “reassure” its economic base by granting them unprecedented privileges, turning a blind eye to all the fines and sanctions in order to shore up support. However it was the Syrian working class who had been harmed by the regime, and who were responsible for inciting this revolution. Many of them were killed, injured or detained, and this ultimately made it impossible for Syria’s businessmen to continue aiding the regime and they have therefore chosen to side with the revolution. This is another nail in the coffin of a regime that should have been put to rest long ago!

France steps up pressure on #Syria as it threatens demand of intervention
France has threatened to demand international intervention against President Bashar al-Assad if a peace plan failed to stop the violence in Syria.
Mr Juppe said it was the “moment of truth” and if the Syrian regime were not complying with the plan’s terms France would seek a resolution under Chapter 7 of the UN charter Photo: EPA

Alain Juppe, the French foreign minister, said he was giving the peace plan put forward by Kofi Annan, the United Nations envoy, which includes sending hundreds of monitors to Syria, until May 5 to show it was working.

That is the day Mr Annan is due to make his next report on the mission to the UN security council. Mr Juppe said it was the “moment of truth” and if the Syrian regime were not complying with the plan’s terms France would seek a resolution under Chapter 7 of the UN charter.

Chapter 7 permits the use of force, and was used in the Libya campaign, though it can also mandate non-military action.

“This cannot continue indefinitely. We want to see observers in sufficient numbers, at least 300, deployed as quickly as possible,” he said. “If that does not work, we cannot allow the regime to defy us.”

Mr Annan has already reported to the council that Syria had failed to withdraw weapons from population centres in violation of the terms of the April 12 ceasefire.

“The situation in Syria continues to be unacceptable,” he said late on Tuesday. “The Syrian authorities must implement their commitments in full and a cessation of violation in all its forms must be respected by all parties.”

Government troops shelled and raided the Damascus suburb of Douma on Wednesday, on the same day that UN monitors visited the town. Activists have accused the Syrian government of using visits by the handful of monitors already in the country to target opposition figures.

“Troops raided houses in Kourshood street, arresting people randomly,” Douma resident Yahya Hawash said. “Some broke into shops. They started shelling at 8 o’clock this morning.

“When the monitors came security forces were with them, and no one could speak frankly.”

Others claimed that 11 activists in Hama were captured and executed the day after they spoke to UN observers visiting the city.

“Syrian intelligence came back to Arbaeen district after the observers left,” said Mousab Alhamadee. “They arrested the activists from their hideout, took them to the High School of Industry and shot them.

“The regime has decided to punish people who talked to monitors. Residents are fleeing areas that the monitors visit as they are afraid of government attacks.”

The full deployment of the 300 UN observers has been delayed since the plan was agreed, with only fifteen monitors currently inside Syria.

Bassma Kodmani, spokesman for the Syrian National Council, said it still supported the Annan plan as a “positive development” that could yet acquire momentum. But she called for the observers to be supplied with helicopters – something unlikely to be agreed by Mr Assad.

Mr Juppe said it was “unacceptable” that Syria had rejected a monitor from an unnamed country of which it did not approve, and has said it would not allow in any from countries that had joined the “Friends of Syria” group led by the United States, Britain, France, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.

He said the peace plan was not dead, but was “severely compromised”.

A Chapter 7 resolution invoking the use of force would almost certainly be vetoed by Russia and China. However, they agreed to the resolution that sent the monitoring mission, and a report by Mr Annan, whom both countries have strongly backed, saying that Mr Assad had failed to live up to the resolution’s terms would put both under pressure to agree some form of tougher action.

In further fighting yesterday, activists abroad and inside the country reported the deaths of four civilians on a bus in the northern province of Idlib. The bus was attacked from a checkpoint on the main road from Aleppo to the capital.

UN Humanitarian Chief Travels to Homs, #Syria

07/03/12 VOA news

The U.N. humanitarian chief is traveling to the battered Syrian city of Homs on the first day of her mission to push for relief workers to be given unhindered access to those in need of aid.

A U.N. spokesman said Valerie Amos arrived in Damascus Wednesday, where she held talks with Syrian foreign ministry officials.  She is scheduled to be in the country until Friday, and her visit will be followed a day later by former U.N. secretary-general Kofi Annan, the new special envoy to Syria.

International pressure 

The visits come as international pressure mounts on Syria’s government to end a crackdown on a year-long opposition uprising.

The United States said Tuesday it is proposing a new U.N. Security Council resolution to end the violence, while Turkey’s leader called for immediate aid access.

“Humanitarian aid corridors to Syria must be opened right away and we must heap pressure on the Syrian administration to deliver humanitarian aid to the Syrian people, especially to Homs,” Recep Tayyip Erdogan said. “The Arab League decision on Syria must be implemented without wasting any more time.’”

Erdogan also said the violence had “started to resemble an inhumane savagery in recent days” and that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad will be “brought to account” for the crackdown.

Spain closed its embassy in Syria to protest the “brutal repression of the Syrian regime.”  France, Britain and the United States have already halted their diplomatic operations in Damascus. 

Draft resolution 

The new U.S. draft “demands” Syria cease all violence and protect its population while condemning the “continued, widespread and systematic” human rights violations committed by the authorities. It also calls on the armed opposition to “refrain from all violence” once those conditions are met.

Russia and China, powerful allies that blocked a similar U.N. resolution against Syria last month, made clear they are still standing by President Assad’s government.

In Washington, President Barack Obama said unilateral U.S. military action against Assad’s government would be a mistake.

More Syrian violence 

On the ground in Syria Tuesday, government troops shelled a village in southern Daraa province and clashed with army defectors.  In Homs, activists said security forces carried out raids in an area next to the former opposition stronghold of Baba Amr and reported gunfire and explosions nearby.

The Red Cross said it is still awaiting approval to distribute aid to the devastated district which endured a nearly month-long siege. Residents who fled Baba Amr spoke of bodies decomposing under rubble, sewage mixing with litter in the streets and a campaign of arrests and executions.

Secretly shot video footage aired on Monday by a British television station showed what it said were Syrian patients tortured by medical staff at a state-run hospital in Homs. The video, which Channel 4 said it could not independently verify, showed wounded, blindfolded men chained to beds, some of them with clear torture marks on their bodies.

Also Tuesday, activists said the military blasted a bridge and a tunnel near the Lebanese border used as escape routes for the wounded and refugees fleeing Homs province.

 

Refugees 


The U.N. refugee agency said at least 9,000 Syrians have fled into Lebanon since Assad began his bloody crackdown on anti-government protests last year. UNHCR spokeswoman Dana Suleiman told VOA at least 2,000 Syrians crossed the border in recent days to escape violence from the Homs region.

Syria’s state-run news agency quoted President Assad Tuesday saying Syrians have proved their determination to pursue reform and fight “foreign-backed terrorism,” which the government blames for the year-long unrest. 

The United Nations estimates that violence linked to the uprising has killed at least 7,500 people since it began last March. Syria blames the unrest on “armed terrorist groups” backed by foreign conspirators.

STATEMENT BY SENATORS McCAIN, LIEBERMAN AND GRAHAM ON THE SITUATION IN #Syria

March 6, 2012

Washington, D.C. ­– U.S. Senators John McCain (R-AZ), Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC) today released the following statement on the situation in Syria:

“After a year of bloodshed, the crisis in Syria has reached a decisive moment.

“The United Nations has declared that Syrian security forces are guilty of crimes against humanity and that more than 7,500 lives have been lost. The kinds of mass atrocities that NATO intervened in Libya to prevent in Benghazi are now a reality in Homs and other cities across the country. Syria today is the scene of some of the worst state-sponsored violence since Milosevic’s war crimes in the Balkans. And the bloodshed continues, with no end in sight.

“What is all the more astonishing is that Assad’s killing spree has continued despite severe and escalating international pressure against him. This has been an impressive international effort, and the Obama Administration deserves credit for helping to orchestrate it.

“Unfortunately, this policy is increasingly disconnected from the dire situation on the ground in Syria, which has become a full-blown state of armed conflict. Despite a year’s worth of diplomacy backed by sanctions, Assad and his lieutenants show no signs of giving up. To the contrary, they appear to accelerating their fight to the finish. Unfortunately, with each passing day, the international response to Assad’s atrocities is being overtaken by events on the ground in Syria.

“Some countries are beginning to confront this reality, as well as its implications. Saudi Arabia and Qatar are calling for arming opposition forces in Syria. The newly-elected Kuwaiti parliament has called on their government to do the same. Most importantly, Syrians themselves are increasingly calling for international intervention, including military assistance. The opposition Syrian National Council recently announced that it is establishing a military bureau to channel weapons and other assistance to the Free Syrian Army and armed groups inside the country.

“To be sure, there are legitimate questions about the efficacy of intervention in Syria, and equally legitimate concerns about its risks and uncertainties. It is understandable that the Administration is reluctant to move beyond diplomacy and sanctions. But our current policy is not succeeding, and the current course is no longer strategically or morally sustainable.

“For this reason, the time has come for a new policy. As we continue to isolate Assad diplomatically and economically, we should work with our closest friends and allies to support opposition groups inside Syria, both political and military, to help them organize themselves into a more cohesive and effective force that can put an end to the bloodshed and force Assad and his loyalists to leave power, which has been the goal of United States policy since August 2011.

“What opposition groups in Syria need most urgently is relief from Assad’s tank and artillery sieges in many cities that are still contested. Providing military assistance to the Free Syrian Army and other opposition groups is necessary, but as Assad continues to intensify his assault, that alone will not be sufficient to stop the slaughter and save innocent lives. The only realistic way to do so is with foreign airpower.

“Therefore, if requested by the Syrian National Council and the Free Syrian Army, the United States should help organize an international effort to protect civilian population centers in Syria through airstrikes on Assad’s forces. To be clear: This will first require the United States and our partners to suppress the Syrian regime’s air defenses in at least part of the country.

“This should not mean the United States must act alone. Any intervention should include Arab partners such as Saudi Arabia, U.A.E., Jordan, and Qatar, and willing allies in the E.U. and NATO, the most important of which in this case is Turkey.

“The ultimate goal of airstrikes should be to protect civilian population centers from Assad’s killing machine and establish safe havens in which opposition forces can organize, rest, refit, and plan their political and military activities against Assad. These safe havens could serve as platforms for the delivery of humanitarian and military assistance – including weapons and ammunition, body armor and other personal protective equipment, tactical intelligence, secure communications equipment, food and water, and medical supplies. These safe havens could also help the Free Syrian Army and other armed groups in Syria to train and organize themselves into more cohesive and effective military forces, likely with the assistance of foreign partners, and provide political space for the Syrian National Council to organize on Syrian soil.

“The benefit for the United States in helping to lead this effort directly is that it would allow us to better empower those Syrian groups that share our interests – those groups that reject Al-Qaeda and the Iranian regime, and commit to the goal of an inclusive democratic transition, as called for by the Syrian National Council. If we stand on the sidelines, others will try to pick winners, and this will not always be to our liking or in our interest.

“There will be no UN Security Council mandate for such an operation. Russia and China took that option off the table long ago. But let’s not forget: NATO took military action to save Kosovo in 1999 without formal U.N. authorization. There is no reason why the Arab League, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), or NATO, or a leading coalition within the Friends of Syria contact group, or all of them speaking in unison, could not provide international legitimacy for military measures to save Syria today.

“Are there dangers, and risks, and uncertainties in this approach? Absolutely. There are no ideal options in Syria. All of them contain significant risk. Many people will be quick to raise concerns about the course of action we are proposing. Many of these concerns have merit, but none so much that they should keep us from acting.

“For example, it is often said that we should not assist the opposition in Syria militarily because we don’t know who these people are, or that by doing so, we could end up benefiting Al-Qaeda or Hamas. In fact, the surest way for Al-Qaeda to gain a foothold in Syria is for us to turn our backs on those brave Syrians who are fighting for their lives.

“Another objection to intervention is that the conflict has become a sectarian civil war, and our involvement would enable the Sunni majority to take revenge against the Alawite minority. This is a serious and legitimate concern, but it is only growing worse the longer the conflict goes on. Furthermore, the risks of sectarian conflict will exist in Syria whether we get more involved or not. If we work to assist the armed opposition now, we will at least have some ability to try to mitigate these risks. Engagement with these groups is the best way to understand them better, to seek to establish trust and influence with them, because we took their side when they needed it most.

“We should not overstate the potential influence we could gain with the armed opposition in Syria, but it will only diminish the longer we wait to offer meaningful support, and what we can say for certain is that we will have no influence whatsoever with these people if they feel we abandoned them.

“We also hear it said that we should not contribute to the militarization of the conflict. If only Russia and Iran shared that sentiment. Instead, they are shamelessly aiding Assad’s killing machine. We need to deal with reality as it is, not as we wish it to be – and the reality in Syria today is a one-sided fight where the aggressors are hardly lacking for military means thanks to the intervention of foreign powers.

“There are always plenty of reasons not to do something, and we can list them clearly in the case of Syria. We know there are divisions in the opposition and among the armed resistance inside the country. We know that some elements of the opposition may sympathize with violent extremist ideologies or harbor dark thoughts of sectarian revenge. We know that many of Syria’s immediate neighbors remain cautious about taking overly provocative actions to undermine Assad. And we know the American people are weary of conflict – justifiably so – and would rather focus on domestic problems.

“These are realities, but while we are compelled to acknowledge them, we are not condemned to accept them forever. With resolve, principled leadership, and wise policy, we can shape better realities. That is what the Syrian people have done.

“By no rational calculation should this uprising against Assad still be going on. The Syrian people are outmatched. They are outgunned. They are lacking for food, and water, and other basic needs. They are confronting a regime whose disregard for human dignity and capacity for sheer savagery is limitless. For an entire year, the Syrian people have faced death, and those unspeakable things worse than death, and still they have not given up. Still they take to the streets to protest peacefully for justice. Still they carry on their fight. And they do so on behalf of many of the same universal values we share, and many of the same interests as well.

“The people who are fighting for freedom in Syria are natural allies. They have expanded the boundaries of what everyone thought was possible in Syria. They have earned our respect, and now they need our support to finish what they started. The Syrian people deserve a chance at freedom, and shame on us if we fail to help them now in their moment of greatest need.”

All armed parties must cease fire in #Syria: Russian foreign minister

13/02/12

The Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Monday that all parties must end the violence in Syria, including from the armed opposition, adding that a ceasefire is necessary before any Syria peacekeeping mission comes into action.

Lavrov spoke at a joint conference in Moscow with his United Arab Emirates counterpart Sheikh Abdullah Bin Zayed al-Nahyan.

The Russian said his country was examining an Arab League proposal for the deployment of a joint Arab-U.N. peacekeeping mission in Syria presented on Sunday in Cairo.

“We are studying this initiative and expect our friends from the Arab states to provide us with a clarification of certain points,” Lavrov told reporters. 

“There must be a comprehensive political dialogue that satisfies the Syrian people,” Lavrov added.

Sheikh Abdullah, meanwhile, said “the Syrian regime does not have the ability to protect its people” with an ongoing bloody crackdown on civilian protesters which has led to more than 6,000 deaths since unrest erupted in mid-March.

“In order to deploy a peacekeeping mission, you need the agreement of the receiving side,” Lavrov said.

“In other words, you need to agree something resembling a ceasefire. But the problem is that the armed groups that are fighting the Syrian regime do not answer to anyone and are not controlled by anyone.”

The Arab League said it had agreed to open contacts with Syria’s opposition and ask the United Nations to form a joint peacekeeping force to the nation.

The move was swiftly denounced by Syrian regime, according to reports from the state television.

Lavrov repeated at a news conference Russia’s message that international pressure to end nearly a year of bloodshed in Syria should focus on the Syrian opposition as well as the government.

Russia and China used their veto power this month to block a Western-Arab Security Council resolution condemning Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s regime for the violence.

U.S. Military beginning review of #Syria options

By Barbara Starr

Although the U.S. focus remains on exerting diplomatic and economic pressure on Syria, the Pentagon and the U.S. Central Command have begun a preliminary internal review of U.S. military capabilities, CNN has learned.

The options are being prepared in the event President Barack Obama were to call for them. Two senior administration officials who spoke about the review to CNN emphasized that U.S. policy for now remains the use of non-military options.

The focus on diplomatic options was underscored by the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations in an interview with CNN on Tuesday.

“Before we start talking about military options, we very much want to ensure that we have exhausted all the political, economic and diplomatic means at our disposal,” Ambassador Susan Rice said on CNN’s “Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer.”

The president has also said that the U.S. is working on non-military options first.

“I think it is very important for us to try to resolve this without recourse to outside military intervention, and I think that’s possible,” Obama said in an interview with NBC News that aired during the Super Bowl on Sunday.

But the military is beginning to look at what can be done.  One of the senior U.S. officials called the effort a “scoping exercise” to see what capabilities are available given other U.S. military commitments in the region.

Both officials pointed out that this type of planning exercise is typical for the Pentagon, which would not want to be in the position of not having options for the president, if and when they are asked for.

It would be Gen. James Mattis, head of U.S. Central Command, who would provide details on what U.S. military assets are available, what missions they could perform if asked, and what risks U.S. forces might face.

“The Pentagon is closely monitoring developments in Syria.  It wouldn’t be doing its job if it didn’t put some ideas on the table,” one of the senior U.S. officials told CNN. “But absolutely no decisions have been made on military support for Syria.”

The two officials were not willing to be identified because they were not authorized to talk to the media.

Typically those types of options are held by the Pentagon as very preliminary plans and not even forwarded to the White House unless asked for. If asked, plans are then fleshed out with specific units to support them.

In this type of analysis being done, the military would typically look at all options ranging from humanitarian relief, to support for opposition groups, as well as outright military strikes, although that is an unlikely option, both officials said.

“This remains a campaign to apply economic and diplomatic pressure,” the first official said.

The military’s work to analyze potential military options for Syria has been quietly going on for several weeks, two administration officials confirm to CNN. The bulk of the analysis is being done by staff of General Mattis, who would be the senior commander if the President were to order any action.

Mattis’ analysis is being shared with General Martin Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who would then present options to the White House, if it came to that.

“We don’t want to be in the position of suddenly dusting off some five year old plan,” one official said.  The official emphasized the work is extremely preliminary but said the military would look at a full range of contingencies.

Arizona Sen. John McCain, the top Republican on the Armed Services committee, told reporters Tuesday that the U.S. should consider “all options including arming the opposition.”

But U.S. officials said that adding weapons into the volatile and violent situation is not a viable option.

“We never take anything off the table. The president does (or) doesn’t. However, as the president himself made absolutely clear and as the secretary has continued to say, we don’t think more arms into Syria is the answer,” said State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland.

As #Syria Wobbles Under Pressure, Iran Feels the Weight of an Alliance

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As antigovernment forces in Syria’s violent uprising have increased the pressure on President Bashar al-Assad to step down, Iran, his main Middle East supporter, also finds itself under siege, undermining a once-powerful partnership and longtime American foe.

It is an unusual position for Iran, and its vulnerability in Syria has not been lost on the United States, which has been imposing stiff economic sanctions on both countries.

In the calculus of predicting the political outcomes of the Arab Spring upheavals, some American officials and political analysts see the possible downfall of Mr. Assad as an event that could further undermine Iran as its economy reels under the sanctions imposed to get Tehran to suspend its nuclear program.

“It would completely change the dynamic in the region,” one Obama administration official said Tuesday.

The departure of Mr. Assad, the thinking goes, not only would threaten to sever Syria from Iran, which has long been a goal of the United States and its Arab allies, but also could deprive Iran of its main means of projecting power in the Middle East. If Mr. Assad were to fall, Tehran would lose its conduit for providing military, financial and logistical support to Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza. Both groups, which oppose Israel and are considered terrorist organizations by Washington, have vast arsenals of rockets and other weapons.

Moreover, the sanctions on Iran have severely impeded its ability to provide financial aid to Mr. Assad (let alone Hamas and Hezbollah), whose treasury has been depleted by the uprising and sanctions on Syria. Another senior administration official said Iran had nevertheless tried its best to prop up Mr. Assad, adding that “you would see Assad fall faster if they weren’t there.”

Syria is likewise important to Iran’s efforts to assert its influence over the region, particularly because it borders Lebanon, which provides access to Hezbollah, and Israel, which Iran has declared its enemy.

Ali Banuazizi, a political science professor at Boston College and a co-director of its Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies Program, said, “To put it bluntly, if Iran is a threat, then one way to weaken that threat would be to weaken Syria and to help the anti-Assad movement in Syria.”

The weakness of the Syria-Iran axis represents a stark turnaround from a year ago, when Mr. Assad’s grip on power seemed assured and Iran was describing itself as the inspiration for other Arab Spring uprisings and Islamist awakening that would subvert America and its allies. Iran even sent two naval vessels through the Suez Canal to Syria last February — for the first time in more than 30 years — in what the Iranians called a message of peace and friendship.

The uprising in Syria, now in its 11th month, has caused extreme discomfort to Hamas, thePalestinian Islamist organization that has been based in Damascus, Syria, for years. Last Friday, Khaled Meshal, Hamas’s leader, left Damascus with no plans to return. Earlier in January, Ismail Haniya, Hamas’s prime minister in Gaza, visited Turkey, a former Assad ally is now perhaps his most powerful regional critic.

It is by no means a certainty that Mr. Assad, who has repeatedly rejected calls for his resignation, will depart soon, despite the increased pressure on him on the streets of Syria and at the United Nations Security Council, where an effort by Western powers and theArab League is under way to force him aside.

But as signs of his unpopularity have spread in Syria and his list of supporters declines, Iran has been one of the few conspicuous allies of Mr. Assad that has not abandoned him — possibly because it has no alternative. Except for Mr. Assad’s minority Alawite sect, other components of Syria’s fractured sectarian mosaic have no affinity for Iran.

Many Syrians now view Iran as siding with their oppressor. There have been at least three instances in recent weeks of abductions of Iranians in Syria by anti-Assad forces.

The most notable was the seizure last month of five Iranians, whom Iran’s state-run press called engineers but anti-Assad groups said were military advisers. In a video posted online by a unit of the insurgent Free Syrian Army, which claimed to hold the Iranians, one of the men identified as a hostage said the five had been “involved in suppressing and shooting ordinary Syrians,” and urged Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, “to order the Iranian military personnel who suppress the Syrians to be repatriated from Syria, so we can also return home.”

While the veracity of that video has not been confirmed, it suggested a level of resentment in Syria toward Iran that had not been seen before.

Iran has continued to publicly recite Mr. Assad’s version of the uprising — that it is terrorism financed by foreign powers hostile to Syria. Ayatollah Khamenei added his voice on Tuesday, denouncing what he called “the interference of America and its allies in Syrian domestic issues.”

At the same time, American officials said there was growing evidence that Iran was helping train and equip Syrian security forces.

“Our concerns include the fact that some of the tactics being used by the Syrian regime mirror tactics used in Iran against their own population and about increasing evidence of numbers of Iranians in and around Syria,” the State Department spokeswoman, Victoria Nuland, said.

In early January, the commander of Iran’s Quds Force, Qassim Suleimani, visited Damascus, raising suspicions that Iran was advising Mr. Assad on how to quash the uprising. The Quds Force, part of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, conducts operations outside Iran.

Still, Iranian officials have also urged Mr. Assad to show more flexibility toward his adversaries, advice he has basically ignored. While Iran will do what it can to ensure Mr. Assad’s survival, a senior American official said the Iranians would not hesitate to seek a foothold with whoever succeeds Mr. Assad.

“There are certain constraints the Assad regime has that make it unable to reform its way out of this,” said Andrew J. Tabler, a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy and an expert on Syria. “Assad would have to undermine the very people he has to maintain order. I don’t expect it’s going to change now. I think the Iranians know that.”

At the same time, Mr. Tabler said, Mr. Assad’s control has been undermined by American and other sanctions, and the Syrian treasury is dwindling. Given the sanctions on Iran, which have handed Iranians their own economic crisis, the leaders in Tehran are unlikely to provide significant financial aid to Mr. Assad.

“Some time in the middle of the year Syria is going to run out of cash, and it will be interesting to see what happens,” Mr. Tabler said. Mr. Assad’s demise, he said, “would be the biggest blow to Iran’s influence in the region in decades.”

Mark Landler and Steven Lee Myers contributed reporting from Washington
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France presses on with #Syria peace plan


Yemeni female protesters

France is throwing its diplomatic weight behind the Arab League’s Syria peace plan, despite a UN Security Council resolution to back the process being vetoed by Russia and China.

As Arab states and Turkey joined western governments in expressing outrage at the veto, French officials said on Sunday that intensive contacts would get under way shortly on a proposal to create an international group on Syria. The group would be aimed at sustaining pressure on the regime in Damascus and maintaining momentum behind the Arab League’s proposals for an end to the crisis.


A week of intense negotiations at the UN in New York ended in diplomatic rancour on Saturday when the Security Council voted 13-2 in favour of the Arab and western-backed resolution calling for Mr Assad to transfer power. Russia, which has been the closest ally of the Syrian regime throughout the process, and China both vetoed the resolution, saying that it interfered with Syrian sovereignty.

President Nicolas Sarkozy said France would work with its European and Arab partners to create what he called a “group of friends of the Syrian people” to apply international backing to the Arab League’s call for President Bashar al-Assad to step aside, the withdrawal of troops and a transition to democracy.

Sergei Lavrov, Russian foreign minister, and Mikhail Fradkov, head of the foreign intelligence service are to meet president Assad on Tuesday.

“Unfortunately, yesterday in the UN, the Cold war logic continues,” Ahmet Davutoglu, Turkey’s foreign minister, told a security conference in Munich. “Russia and China did not vote based on the existing realities but more a reflexive attitude against the west.”

Nabil Elaraby, the Arab League’s secretary-general, said Arab states would not stop their efforts to resolve the Syrian crisis even though their bid to secure UN backing had been blocked. The Russian and Chinese veto “does not negate that there is clear international support for the resolutions of the Arab League … that called for President Bashar al-Assad to step aside so talks with the opposition could start,” Mr Elaraby said.

Hillary Clinton, the US secretary of state, described Saturday’s veto as a travesty. “Those countries that refused to support the Arab League plan bear full responsibility for protecting the brutal machine in Damascus,” she said.

“Faced with a neutered Security Council, we have to redouble our efforts outside of the UN with those allies and partners who support the Syrian people’s right to have a better future.”

Russia refused to take the blame for the failed resolution, calling the draft “unbalanced” in its demand for Mr Assad to step down but not making any demands on the opposition.

“The resolution draft did not take into account a requirement promoted by the Russian side for the Syrian opposition to distance themselves from extremist elements, who have chosen the path of violence,” the Russians foreign ministry said.

French officials said the scope of the contact group had yet to be fixed and it was too early to say when a meeting might be set up. But its main purpose would be to promote the Arab League initiative and to send a clear message to the Syrian opposition that they retained international support despite the failure of the Security Council resolution. “We absolutely have to help the Syrian people,” said one.

The officials likened it to an international contact group set up last year during the rebellion in Libya – although there is no suggestion that France is contemplating advocating military intervention in Syria. However, Paris mooted the idea last November of setting up humanitarian corridors in Syria, linked to the Turkish and Lebanese borders or to the coast, through which food and medical supplies could be channelled to civilians. Officials said this idea could be “on the table” for a contact group.

They added that representatives of Syrian opposition factions could be involved in the group – but work was going on in parallel to press the opposition to unify and work our a common platform.

Additional reporting by Reuters


Russia under intense pressure not to veto #Syria resolution at UN

Western and Arab governments try to persuade Moscow to accept resolution calling on Bashar al-Assad to step down

  • Wednesday 1 February 2012 18.43 GMT
The UN security council meeting to discuss Libya
The UN security council is expected to vote on the Syria resolution by early next week. Photograph: Don Emmert/AFP/Getty Images

Russia is facing intensive efforts by western and Arab governments to persuade it not to veto a UN resolution calling on Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad, to surrender power and end the country’s escalating crisis.

Ambassadors of the 15 members of the UN security council were meeting in New York late on Wednesday to assess support for an Arab-led drive to secure a peaceful end to the 10-month crackdown.

No vote is likely before Friday and it is unlikely it would be delayed beyond next Tuesday, diplomatic sources said, revealing attempts to convince Russia not to block the widely-supported draft text.

Western officials indicated that a Russian abstention would also be a satisfactory outcome, given the close relationship between Moscow and Damascus.

Russian officials suggested that a vote was not imminent. China, one of the five permanent members of the council, is thought likely to follow Russia. India, Pakistan and South Africa, which are all non-permanent members, were said to have softened their earlier objections.

Russia’s ambassador to the EU, Vladmimir Chuzhin, said the current text was “missing the most important thing: a clear clause ruling out the possibility that the resolution could be used to justify military intervention in Syrian affairs from outside.

“For this reason I see no chance this draft could be adopted,” he said.

Russia’s UN envoy, Vitaly Churkin, told reporters in Moscow: “If it is a text that we consider erroneous, that will lead to a worsening of the crisis, we will not allow it to be passed. That is unequivocal.”

The US, Britain and France, backing a resolution that closely follows an Arab League plan, have insisted that it could not be used to authorise military action. Hillary Clinton, the US secretary of state, dismissed comparisons with Libya, where the Nato-led intervention that helped overthrow the Gaddafi regime still rankles with Moscow.

Western diplomats made clear that they were exploring ways to provide Russia with the assurances it wanted, but pointed out that the resolution is under Chapter VI of the UN charter, which cannot authorise armed action.

“We will be flexible and take on Rusian concerns,” said one offiical. “It will take a lot of effort to get them to support this, but they are feeling uncomfortable. We don’t see any reason why this should be rejected.”

Russia has also described the resolution as a recipe for regime change. The Arab League and its western supporters insist it is not, calling it the best way out of the bloodiest current chapter of the Arab spring - in Clinton’s words, “a path for a political transition that would preserve Syria’s unity and institutions”.

The Arab League has called on Assad to hand power to his deputy and form a unity government with the opposition.

According to the UN, at least 5,400 people have been killed since the uprising began 10 months ago. Syrian opposition sources say the figure could be much higher. The Syrian government says it is facing an international conspiracy supporting “armed terrorist gangs”.

Amnesty International also called on Russia to stop blocking a UN resolution — after doing so last October. “Russia’s threats to abort a binding UN resolution on Syria for the second time are utterly irresponsible,” said José Luis Díaz, Amnesty’s representative to the UN. “Russia bears a heavy responsibility for allowing the brutal crackdown to continue.”

The latest diplomatic wrangling came on another day of violence across Syria, with reports from opposition sources that 52 people had been killed, mostly in the Damascus region. The Syrian Revolution General Commission said that 17 people had been killed in Homs and five in Deraa in the south, where the unprecedented unrest began last March. The Local Co-ordination Committees in Syria put the figure at 63 people killed.

Russia says will veto “unacceptable” #Syria resolution
Anti-government protesters wave flags and carry coffins during the funeral of two protesters killed in earlier clashes in Homs, January 31, 2012.  The banner reads, 'A nation with its leader Prophet Muhammad, will not kneel'. Picture taken January 31, 2012. REUTERS-Handout
Syrian soldiers on an armoured military vehicle are seen in Deir Balaba, near Homs, January 31, 2012. REUTERS-Handout
Smoke rises from the suburb of Erbeen in Damascus, January 29, 2012. Around 2,000 Syrian troops backed by tanks launched an assault to retake Damascus suburbs from rebels on Sunday, activists said, a day after the Arab League suspended its monitoring mission in Syria because of worsening violence. REUTERS-Handout

MOSCOW | Wed Feb 1, 2012 11:39am EST

(Reuters) - Russia said on Wednesday it would veto any U.N. resolution on Syria that it finds unacceptable, after demanding any measure rule out military intervention to halt the bloodshed touched off by protests against President Bashar al-Assad’s rule.

The political violence in Syria has killed at least 5,000 people in the past 10 months and activists say Assad’s forces have stepped up operations this week on opposition strongholds, from Damascus suburbs to the cities of Hama, Homs and the border provinces of Deraa and Idlib.

Arab and Western states urged the U.N. Security Council on Tuesday to act swiftly on a resolution calling for Assad to hand over powers to his deputy and defuse the 11-month-old uprising against his family’s dynastic rule.

“If the text will be unacceptable for us we will vote against it, of course,” Russian U.N. envoy Vitaly Churkin told reporters in Moscow via a videolink from New York.

“If it is a text that we consider erroneous, that will lead to a worsening of the crisis, we will not allow it to be passed. That is unequivocal,” he said.

His remarks came hours after Russia’s envoy to the European Union, Vladimir Chizhov, said there was no chance the Western-Arab draft text could be accepted unless it expressly rejected armed intervention.

Russia and China, both veto-wielding Security Council members, have resisted a Western push for a resolution condemning the Syrian government’s crackdown on unrest.

Despite the Russian comments, French Foreign Minister Alain Juppe said a “window of hope” had opened. “We will work furiously in the next few days to try and get a resolution that will allow the Arab League to forge ahead in finding a solution,” he told parliament in Paris.

Russia says the West exploited fuzzy wording in a March 2011 U.N. Security Council resolution on Libya to turn a mandate to protect civilians in the North African country’s uprising into a push to remove the government, backed by NATO air strikes, that led to the overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi.

Russia has also expressed concern that the draft’s threat of further measures against Syria could lead to sanctions, which it opposes. Its diplomats also want to remove the draft’s support for the Arab League’s plan for Assad to cede power.

“ECONOMIC PRESSURE”

Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim al-Thani, who has led the Arab League’s efforts to tackle the Syrian crisis, attempted to allay Moscow and Beijing’s objections, saying it was trying to avoid a Libyan-style foreign role.

“We are not calling for foreign intervention,” he said. “We are advocating the exertion of concrete economic pressure so that the Syrian regime might realize that it is imperative to meet the demands of its people”.

He told the 15-member Security Council that Syria’s “killing machine is still at work”.

An activist group said Syrian troops killed eight people in the central city of Homs and that 15 government soldiers were killed in a clash with a defector unit. Syria’s state news agency SANA said a general, Rajeh Mahmoud, was killed along with three soldiers on the outskirts of Damascus on Wednesday.

Syrian insurgents said Assad’s forces extended a military sweep overnight to counter a rebel threat that had reached the gates of the capital, sending armor into eastern and northern suburbs that Assad’s forces took over this week. An activist group said at least 25 people had been killed in that sweep.

In Wadi Barada on the edge of the capital, four people were killed in a tank bombardment on Wednesday to flush out rebel Free Syrian Army (FSA) units operating near the capital, activists said. A rebel spokesman put the death toll at 15.

SANA said troops killed 11 members of an “armed terrorist group” outside the southern city of Deraa, and that government forces discovered bomb factories and field hospitals in a raid on armed cells in Irbin and Sabqa, Damascus suburbs where insurgents had appeared recently.

It was not possible to verify the reports as Syria restricts access for independent media.

CALL FOR ACTION

Arab League Secretary-General Nabil Elaraby called on the U.N. Security Council to take “rapid and decisive action” by approving the resolution.

“Do not let the Syrian people down in its plight,” he said.

The United States strongly endorsed the appeal from the Arab League and Qatar for “rapid and decisive action”, but China reiterated its reservations.

“China is firmly opposed to the use of force to solve the Syrian problem and resolutely opposes pushing for forced regime change in Syria, as it violates the United Nations Charter and the basic norms guiding the practice of international relations,” Xinhua news agency quoted Chinese Ambassador to the United Nations Li Baodong as telling the Security Council.

Syrian U.N. Ambassador Bashar Ja’afari rejected the suggestion his government was responsible for the crisis and accused Western powers of dreaming of “the return of colonialism and hegemony” in the Middle East.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said the policy of isolation and trying to remove the government risked igniting a “much bigger drama” in the Middle East.

“The people who are obsessed with removing regimes in the region, they should be really thinking about the broader picture. And I’m afraid that if this vigor to change regimes persists, we are going to witness a very bad situation much, much, much broader than just Syria, Libya, Egypt or any other single country.”

(Additional reporting Sui-Lee Wee in Beijing, Khaled Yacoub Oweis in Amman, Mariam Karouny and Joseph Logan in Beirut and John Irish in Paris; Writing by Dominic Evans; Editing by Janet Lawrence)

#Syria: Day of mourning, anger, called after 100 killed

Syria’s opposition called for a “day of mourning and anger” on Tuesday after almost 100 people, most of them civilians, reportedly died in spiralling violence ahead of a UN Security Council showdown

  • Image Credit: AFP
  • A handout picture released by the Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) on January 29, 2012 shows a burnt bus at the scene of a blast blamed by the Syrian authorities on a “terrorist group” near a military barracks in Sahnaya on the outskirts of Damascus, in which six members of the security forces were killed, according to the agency. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said in statements received in Nicosia, Cyprus on January 30 that rebel Syrian soldiers had “attacked a minibus carrying six security officers on their way to make arrests in Hirak, killing all of the passengers.”

Damascus: Syria’s opposition called for a “day of mourning and anger” on Tuesday after almost 100 people, most of them civilians, reportedly died in spiralling violence ahead of a UN Security Council showdown.

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was leading a Western charge pressing Russia to back UN Security Council action to stop a crackdown on dissent the United Nations says has killed more than 5,400 people in the past 10 months.

“ 

It is time for all the members of UN Security Council to live up to their responsibilities instead of shielding those who have blood on their hands

 

British Prime Minister David Cameron

But Russia, which has veto power in the council, has objected to a resolution introduced by Morocco under which Syrian President Bashar Al Assad would accept a ceasefire and hand over power to a deputy ahead of talks.

Lack of swift action deplored

In a statement on its Facebook page, the opposition Syrian National Council deplored the international community’s lack of “swift action” to protect civilians “by all necessary means.”

On Monday, “the regime waged a bloody campaign of massacres and terrorism that killed 100 Syrians including women and children… in Homs, using tanks and heavy weapons to bomb neighbourhoods,” it said, referring to the central city.

It called, in coordination with activists, for a “day of mourning and anger in the country to commemorate the victims of savage massacres,” urging mosques and churches to support the cause with prayer calls and ringing bells

The SNC, the most representative group opposed to Al Assad, reaffirmed the “people’s determination to fight for their freedom and dignity,” stressing they “will not give up their revolution, whatever the sacrifices.”

“The regime is taking advantage of the cover provided to it by some regional and international parties to escalate its crackdown,” it added, in a likely reference to Iran and Russia.

Monday’s upsurge in violence

An upsurge in violence on Monday, mostly in the flashpoint of Homs, killed almost 100 people, including 55 civilians, said the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

The unrest, which also saw 25 soldiers killed, marked one of the bloodiest days of a revolt that erupted in March inspired by a wave of Arab uprisings that last year overthrew authoritarian leaders in Egypt, Libya and Tunisia.

Amid the escalating violence which prompted the Arab League to suspend its observer mission to Syria, Clinton, the head of the League and the British and French foreign ministers headed to New York to push forward a UN resolution.

“The United States condemns in the strongest possible terms the escalation of the Syrian regime’s violent and brutal attacks on its own people,” Clinton said in a statement announcing her trip to the UN.

“The Security Council must act and make clear to the Syrian regime that the world community views its actions as a threat to peace and security. The violence must end, so that a new period of democratic transition can begin.”

European Union leaders at a Brussels summit unanimously voiced outrage over the bloodshed in Syria. EU President Herman Van Rompuy called on the Security Council to “take long overdue steps to bring an end to the repression”.

Appalling

British Prime Minister David Cameron, citing reports that more than 400 children have been killed in the crackdown, said: “It’s frankly an appalling situation.”

“It’s time for all the members of the UN Security Council to live up to their responsibilities instead of shielding those with blood on their hands,” Cameron said.

yria’s foreign ministry fired back, saying “the aggressive American and Western statements against Syria are escalating in a scandalous manner,” and again blaming the recent violence on “armed terrorist groups”.

‘Pockets of resistence crushed’

Earlier Tuesday activists said Syrian troops were crushing pockets of resistance on Damascus’ outskirts as they advance into suburbs previously held by rebel forces.

Tuesday’s offensive comes hours before key UN talks over a draft resolution demanding President Bashar Al Assad step aside.

Government forces on Monday regained control of most of the capital’s eastern suburbs after dissident soldiers briefly captured the territory last week.

Intense shooting

The British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights says “intense shooting” was heard in Zamalka and Arbeen as the tanks and troops advanced.

Meanwhile, army defectors gained full control of the central town of Rastan on Tuesday after days of intense clashes, according to a town activist who identified himself as Hassan.

He refused to give his full name, fearing reprisals.

UN draft resolution

Beirut: Syrian forces pushed dissident troops back from the edge of Damascus in heavy fighting Monday, escalating efforts to take back control of the capital’s eastern doorstep ahead of key U.N. talks over a draft resolution demanding that President Bashar Al Assad step aside.

Gunfire and the boom of shelling rang out in several suburbs on Damascus’ outskirts that have come under the domination of anti-regime fighters.

Gunmen - apparently army defectors - were shown firing back in amateur videos posted online by activists. In one video, a government tank on the snow-dusted mountain plateau towering over the capital fired at one of the suburbs below.

As the bloodshed increased, with activists reporting more than 40 civilians killed Monday, Western and Arab countries stepped up pressure on Assad’s ally Russia to overcome its opposition to the resolution.

US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and the British and French foreign ministers were heading to New York to push for backing of the measure during talks Tuesday at the United Nations.

‘Status quo unsustainable’

“The status quo is unsustainable,” Clinton said, saying the Al Assad regime was preventing a peaceful transition and warning that the resulting instability could “spill over throughout the region”.

The draft resolution demands that Assad halt the crackdown and implement an Arab peace plan that calls for him to hand over power to his vice president and allow creation of a unity government to pave the way for elections.

If Al Assad fails to comply within 15 days, the council would consider “further measures,” a reference to a possible move to impose economic or other sanctions. British Prime Minister David Cameron called the situation in Syria “appalling” and appealed Monday to Russia to back the UN Security Council resolution.

“It is time for all the members of UN Security Council to live up to their responsibilities instead of shielding those who have blood on their hands,” Cameron said. Moscow, which in October vetoed the first council attempt to condemn Syria’s crackdown, has shown little sign of budging in its opposition.

Military intervention

It warns that the new measure could open the door to eventual military intervention, the way an Arab-backed UN resolution led to Nato airstrikes in Libya.

A French official said the draft UN resolution has a “comfortable majority” of support from 10 of the Security Council’s 15 members, meaning Russia or China would have to use its veto power to stop it.

The official said Russia had agreed to negotiate on the draft, but it was not yet clear if it would be willing to back it if changes were made. The official spoke on condition of anonymity in accordance with department rules.

The Kremlin said Monday it was trying to put together negotiations in Moscow between Damascus and the opposition. It said Al Assad’s government has agreed to participate” the opposition has in the past rejected any negotiations unless violence stops.

Western countries cited the past week’s escalation in fighting to pressure Moscow.

Russia

“Russia can no longer explain blocking the UN and providing cover for the regime’s brutal repression,” a spokeswoman for British Prime Minister David Cameron said, on customary condition of anonymity in line with policy.

The United Nations estimated several weeks ago that more than 5,400 people have been killed in Syria’s crackdown on the uprising against Al Assad’s rule, which began in March. It has been unable to update the figure, and more than 200 people have been killed in the past five days alone, according to activists’ reports.

Pro-Al Assad forces have fought for three days to take back a string of suburbs on the eastern approach to Damascus, mostly poorer, Sunni-majority communities.

In past weeks, army defectors - masked men in military attire wielding assault rifles - set up checkpoints in the communities, defending protesters and virtually seizing control.

Late Sunday, government troops retook two of the districts closest to Damascus, Ein Tarma and Kfar Batna, said Rami Abdul-Rahman, the London-based head of the Syrian Human Rights Observatory, which tracks violence through contacts on the ground.

Damascus neighbourhoods pounded

On Monday, the regime forces were trying to retake the next suburbs out, pounding neighbourhoods with shelling and heavy machine guns in the districts of Saqba, Arbeen and Hamouriya, he said. At least five civilians were killed in the fighting near Damascus, according to the Observatory and another activist group, the Local Coordination Committees.

Regime forces also heavily shelled buildings and battled dissidents in the central city of Homs, one of the main hot spots of the uprising, activists said. The Observatory reported 28 killed in the city Monday. The Local Coordination Committees put the number at 27.

The reports could not be independently confirmed. Syrian authorities keep tight control on the media and have banned many foreign journalists from entering the country.

Atrocities

The Syrian Interior Ministry, in charge of security forces, said Monday that its three-day operation in the suburbs aimed to track down “terrorist groups” that have “committed atrocities” and vowed to continue until they were wiped out.

Damascus had remained relatively quiet while most other Syrian cities have slipped into chaos since the uprising began. Regime forces, backed by tanks and armored vehicles, heavily outgun and outnumber the defectors, organized into a force known as the Free Syrian Army.

However, the military can’t cover everywhere at once, and when it puts down the dissidents in one location, they arise in another.

The dissidents’ true numbers are unknown.

The result has been a dramatic militarisation of a crisis that began with peaceful protests demanding the ouster of the Al Assad family and its regime. The army defectors began by protecting protesters, but over the weeks they have gone more on the offensive. The dissidents have seemed increasingly confident in hit-and-run attacks. On Monday, they freed five imprisoned comrades in an assault on a military base in the northeastern province of Idlib, the Observatory and Local Coordination Committees reported.

Defectors

Other defectors attacked a large military checkpoint outside Hama, destroying several transport trucks and claiming to kill a number of troops, the two groups said. Six government soldiers were killed in an ambush on their vehicles in the southern region of Daraa, the state news agency SANA reported.

The Observatory reported two other soldiers and 10 defectors killed in fighting elsewhere. Attackers also blew up a gas pipeline near the border with Lebanon, SANA reported, the latest in numerous attacks on Syria’s oil and gas infrastructure. Because of the upsurge in violence, the Arab League halted a month-old observer mission, which had already come under heavy criticism for failing to stop the crackdown.

The League turned to the UN Security Council to throw its weight behind its peace plan, which Damascus has rejected. The move resembles the turn of events before last year’s Nato air campaign in Libya, when Western countries waited for Arab League support before winning UN cover for intervention. But so far, there has been little appetite for a similar campaign in Syria.

There is no clear-cut geographical divide between the regime and its opponents as there was in Libya, and the opposition is even more divided and unknown than it was in the North African nation.

Syria is intertwined in alliances with Iran, Hezbollah and Palestinian militant groups, and borders Israel - making the fallout from military action more unpredictable.