Nun on Irish visit accused of peddling ‘regime lies’ about crisis in #Syria

17/08/12

MARY FITZGERALD, Foreign Affairs Correspondent

AN ITALIAN Jesuit expelled from Syria in June due to his outspoken criticism of government violence has accused a controversial nun who visited Ireland last week of peddling “regime lies” about the crisis there.

Fr Paolo Dall’Oglio, who lived in Syria for 30 years and has been heavily involved in interfaith work in the country, described Mother Agnes Mariam as “an instrument” of President Bashar al-Assad’s regime. “She has been consistent in assuming and spreading the lies of the regime, and promoting it through the power of her religious persona,” he told The Irish Times yesterday. “She knows how to cover up the brutality of the regime.”

During her four-day visit to Ireland last week, Mother Agnes Mariam, who is superior at the Melkite Greek Catholic monastery in Syria, gave media interviews in which she claimed Christians in Syria were facing “extinction” and that rebels battling Assad were predominantly foreigners linked with al-Qaeda.

Fr Dall’Oglio, who has spent time with opposition activists in several restive parts of Syria, said these claims were “ridiculous” and constituted regime propaganda.

“I have been there, I know the people, including the youth, who are working for the revolution, and I know that what she is saying is insane. It corresponds with the regime version of the facts,” he said.

Mother Agnes Mariam, who visited Dublin and Belfast, had separate meetings with representatives of the Irish Bishops Conference justice and peace committee, Sinn Féin TD Seán Crowe, Nobel peace laureate Mairead Corrigan Maguire, and an official from the Department of Foreign Affairs.

One of her interlocutors here was taken aback when the nun claimed during their meeting that the Houla massacre, in which more than 100 civilians, more than half of them children, were killed, was an elaborate hoax concocted by rebels. This week a UN commission of inquiry concluded that Syrian government forces and the pro-Assad militia known as shabiha were responsible for the massacre.

In March, Mother Agnes Mariam was accused of running a “misinformation campaign” by a US-based Syrian opposition group called Syrian Christians for Democracy.

It said she maintains “close ties” to the Assad family and alleged she had fed selected visiting journalists “distorted facts and fake testimonies for the sole purpose of tarnishing the opposition’s image”.

The group referred to the role of a number of Christians in the Syrian uprising.

“Mother Agnes and those helping her are harming the Syrian people by disseminating negative pro-Assad propaganda and tearing at Syria’s social and religious fabrics,” it said. “The Christians in Syria, as well as the rest of the population, are in need of undivided support, backing, and funding. They do not need divisive rumours and the propagation of inaccurate information.”

Mother Agnes Mariam’s trip to Ireland was organised by Alan Lonergan, who acts as churches liaison officer with Sadaka, an Irish pro-Palestinian advocacy group, though he arranged the visit in a personal capacity.

“The impression people have of what is happening in Syria is very black and white,” he said. “We need to examine more of the grey area.”

ASSAD’S PROPAGANDA CHANNELS IN A NUTSHELL. ONE DEAD MAN. ONE ONE CHANNEL HE’S A MARTYR. ON THE OTHER HE’S A TERRORIST. BOTH CHANNELS OWNED BY ASSAD. Damascus (Midan) : July 24, 2012 - The first channel, Addunia TV, shows the man dead in a pool of blood with his hands tied behind his back and a packet of ‘Matte’ (a drink that is quite popular with shabiha (Assad gangs)) by his side. The reporter says he was shot dead by ‘terrorists’ in his home. 

Then on Al-Ikhbariya channel (also Assad owned) they run a story on the exact same man. However this time Assad soldiers display his ‘terrorist military’ uniform and rifle outside his house. Then we see the same man in roughly the same position as on Addunia TV, but the packet of ‘Matte’ is gone and we are not shown his tied hands. Instead we are told that not only was he a sniper terrorizing the neighborhood, but he was also an expert bomb-maker that creates improvised explosive devices.

Even when Assad’s forces / supporters / media complex lie, they do a terrible job. And yet there are still those that believe and watch this filth.

The man is a resident of Midan. He, like dozens of others that day had their homes invaded by Assad’s forces, were tied up, badly beaten then executed. The reason? Because that’s what Assad’s forces do.

Thanks @edwardedark

#Syria activists using U.S. tech to beat curbs

(Reuters) - U.S. technologies that may include a mobile phone “panic button” and an “internet suitcase” are being used by activists in Syria and other authoritarian countries to override government communications controls, a U.S. official said on Thursday.

Alec Ross, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s senior adviser for innovation, said the United States was working on between 10 and 20 classified technologies that could be used by protesters and others facing communications curbs.

He also described how Facebook and other social networks could be used to challenge propaganda spread online by what he called the “Syrian Electronic Army”.

“They’re (some of the new technologies) being used in Syria. A number of the organisations that have benefited from our training include Syrian citizens,” Ross told reporters in London, declining to specify which of the technologies were being used.

Ross outlined one U.S. innovation that he said was inspired by the detention of protesters in Iran and the mining of their phones for information on activist networks.

The so-called “panic button” is a pin code that when entered into a mobile phone will immediately wipe its address book and messages.

Another is the “internet suitcase”, which he said could be used to set up a communications network even when the state-controlled telecommunications provider has shut off connectivity or is using it to monitor and punish dissent.

Ross said there was “clear evidence” that Syria’s main mobile phone operator Syriatel, which is currently under U.S. sanctions, was being used to identify and punish dissent.

More than 10,000 people have been killed in Syria since an uprising began against President Bashar al-Assad last year, inspired by a wave demonstrations across the Middle East that toppled autocratic leaders in Egypt, Libya, Tunisia and Yemen.

SYRIAN ELECTRONIC ARMY

Social networks played a key role in rallying activists during the Arab Spring, and authorities responded by shutting down networks to make it harder for protesters to coordinate.

In Syria, Ross gave an example of how Facebook could be used to undermine state propaganda, and described how the U.S. envoy to Damascus had taken to posting messages on the social networking site to avoid being misinterpreted.

The ambassador’s posts were then flooded by anti-U.S. and pro-Assad responses, Ross said, implying that they were a coordinated onslaught.

“What happened is real Syrian citizens began to out members of the Syrian Electronic Army, and so while the army might have put 500 comments, normal Syrians put another 500 up saying ‘Ignore all these comments that are pro-Bashar’,” Ross said.

“At the end of the day the Syrian Electronic Army came out with egg on its face,” he added.

Ross said Washington communicated with Google and Facebook to share information on their operations in “oppressive environments”, giving an example of talks prompted by cyber attacks by the government of ousted Tunisian leader Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali to stifle protests against his rule.

“We have open communications and discussions with companies like Google and Facebook in oppressive environments so we can share information,” Ross said.

“The Ben Ali government cyber-attacked 1.4 million of its own citizens to try to identify the ‘movement leaders’ and Facebook actually told us about the cyber attack. We then shared information over the weeks that followed over the respective responses.”

Arab Media Clash Over #Syria

In Syria’s conflict, one side stridently argues that President Bashar al-Assad is under siege by agents of Gulf Arab states and the West. Opposition fighters, they say, are al Qaeda-allied terrorists and Israeli intelligence operatives. They characterize recent reports of Assad-regime massacres in the cities of Homs and Idlib as “a hysterical terrorist media campaign.”

As the other side sees it, President Assad is “a monster.” His regime, they say, is out to massacre the country’s Sunni majority.

A pro-Assad Lebanese journalist, right, on an al-Jazeera talk show criticizes the line of the show’s Syrian host.

These polar views define not only the Assad regime and those who oppose it: They are also the two starkly competing narratives being broadcast across the region by Arabic-language television news channels. These dueling accounts of Syria’s conflict are open proxies, observers say, for the political agendas of their backers.

“All you have is propaganda and counterpropaganda,” says Marwan Kraidy, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg School of Communication and an Arab media expert. “The number of channels is staggering, and the intensity of the sectarian hate and rhetoric is scary.”

Satellite TV remains the most accessible medium for the Arab world’s masses. In areas where Internet penetration is sparse, news and views of the broader world come largely from the free stations picked up by dishes that are ubiquitous on rooftops from Baghdad’s slums to the remotest village in Morocco.

These stations broadly reinforce a regional narrative that pits Iran, which sees itself as the leader of the region’s Shiite Muslims and supports Mr. Assad, against Gulf Arab states led by Saudi Arabia, a center of Sunni Islam that is fully behind the opposition. The media battle is galvanizing populations across the region along sectarian lines and further fueling fears that a local conflict will metastasize into a regional one.

[SYRMEDIA]

The region’s two main news channels—Al-Arabiya, which is based in Dubai and owned by Saudis, and al-Jazeera, which is owned and run out of Qatar—feature multisided discussions on Syria. But they can also often project the determination by oil-rich Sunni Gulf Arab states to cripple Iran and its Shiite allies, analysts say.

Several Salafi channels in tightly controlled Saudi Arabia have appeared to seize on Syria to escalate their case against Iran and Shiites in general, analysts add. Salafis are ultraconservative Sunnis whose interpretations of Islam overlap with those of al Qaeda.

“There will be slaughter and killing in every Arab country if the Syrian revolution is extinguished,” said a news anchor this month on the Saudi-based Safa channel, adding that “Shiites are worse than Jews.”

A caption on the screen read: “Sunnis are one blood.”

Meanwhile, a range of channels friendly to the regime in Damascus—including Syrian state TV, Iranian broadcasters and Beiruit-based Al-Manar TV, owned by the Iranian-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah—have echoed Mr. Assad’s characterization that international coverage of Syria is a “media onslaught.” They say they are battling an immense conspiracy waged by enemies in the Arab world, Israel and the West.

Anwar-2, an Iranian-funded channel that broadcasts to Iraq’s Shiite majority, regularly speaks about Saudi Arabia’s “extermination war against Shiites” and has called on Shiites in the region to mobilize against the Syrian opposition.

The media battle was evident as the Syrian government mounted 26 days of attacks against the Baba Amr neighborhood of Homs. Channels opposed to the Syrian regime—a group that is significantly larger, and deeper-pocketed, than the pro-Assad channels—played up news the Syrian army was closing in for a final assault on Baba Amr. They reported massacres, rape, aerial bombardment and destruction of homes and mosques by the regime, not only in Homs but in several other Syrian hot spots.

Pro-Assad channels played down, or didn’t report, the siege and bombardment of Baba Amr. But once government soldiers took control of the neighborhood from opposition fighters, the same channels were let into the district before relief agencies to broadcast scenes of devastation and sing the Syrian army’s praises.

Syria’s Addounia TV shows what it says are opposition militants. ‘We bring you slaughter!!!’ reads the caption.

“This is what the Gulf-financed crows of death wrought,” said an announcer on Syria’s Addounia, believed to be controlled by Mr. Assad’s maternal relatives, the Makhloufs. The channel ran nightly reports about massacres allegedly committed by opposition fighters, as well as bomb-making factories, arms depots and torture chambers said to belong to them.

Syria is all but closed to the Western press. Two Western journalists, who were among a knot of reporters who reported on what they characterized as a regime offensive that indiscriminately targeted civilians in Homs, were killed there in an attack that wounded several others.

As Sunni-backed channels convey agitation, fear-mongering and a “particular personal vendetta” against the Assad regime, the mirror-image narratives presented by the pro-Assad channels become all the more credible, said As’ad AbuKhalil, professor of political science at California State University, Stanislaus. For these channels, he said, “the lie doesn’t have to be good.”

Syria’s Minister of Information Adnan Mahmoud said last week that state TV was covering events objectively and described recent successes in turning public opinion around.

An Al-Arabiya spokesman stressed his channel’s independence, saying perceptions that its coverage favors Syria’s opposition could be fueled by the fact that opposition members have made themselves more available than have regime figures. An al-Jazeera representative cited the Syrian regime’s boycott of the channel and restrictions on media operating in the field.

“There is not an editorial policy that chooses one side against another—the viewer is smart enough,” said Mostefa Souag, managing director of al-Jazeera’s flagship Arabic news channel.

A Saudi TV journalist said that while mainstream Arabic news channels’ Syria coverage was sensational, it is no match to the pro-regime channels. But Salafi channels have nonetheless generated hatred that has in the end served the Syrian regime and its allies in Iran and Lebanon, by allowing them to rally their own constituencies in defense, according to Jamal al-Khashoggi, a Saudi journalist who is launching a TV channel this year funded by a member of what is seen as a moderate wing of the Saudi ruling family.

“They are part of the war of our Sunni fundamentalists with Shiite fundamentalists,” he said of the Salafi stations. He added: “It doesn’t help our confrontation with Iran.”

In several cases, the TV channels have become platforms for calls for action, which observers fear will fuel more violence in a region already rived by it. In addition to years of sectarian strife in Iraq, there have been episodes of sectarian clashes in Lebanon and most recently in Bahrain, where the Shiite majority is demonstrating against a Saudi-backed Sunni monarchy.

Earlier this month, Qatar-based Sunni cleric Yusuf al-Qaradawi issued a series of Syria-related fatwahs, or religious edicts, live on al-Jazeera, which has at least 35 million viewers across the world. He said jihad, or holy war, was mandatory there. “Elimination” of those collaborating with Mr. Assad’s crackdown on the opposition, including informants, was permissible, he said.

“When we engage in this rhetoric whereby the other side is only good when dead,” said the University of Pennsylvania’s Mr. Kraidy, “we are setting the region up for a lot of trouble.”

—Ali A. Nabhan contributed to this article.

Corrections & Amplifications
In the photo, the pro-Assad Lebanese journalist is on the right. The caption had incorrectly identified him as on the left.

Asma Assad: #Syria Dictator’s Wife A ‘Rose In The Desert’ Crushed By Uprising Violence

Syrian president Bashar Assad’s wife Asma is pictured at the Bristol hotel on December 11, 2010 in Paris. (MIGUEL MEDINA/AFP/Getty Images)


By Maria Golovnina

LONDON, March 19 (Reuters) - She was supposed to be the gentler face of a would-be reformist regime. Now Asma al-Assad has become a hate figure for many.

Syria’s London-born first lady, once breathlessly described as a “rose in the desert”, is ensconced at the heart of the shadowy inner circle of President Bashar al-Assad.

As Syria slides towards civil war and foreign powers watch for cracks within the ruling clan, understanding Asma could prove vital to understanding the Assads and the future of the Syrian crisis.

A British-educated former investment banker, Asma cultivated the image of a glamorous yet serious-minded woman with strong Western-inspired values who was meant to humanise the increasingly secretive and isolated Assad family.

That image crumbled when her husband responded to an anti-government rebellion with extreme violence a year ago. Asma had clearly decided to stand by her man despite international revulsion at his actions. Assad himself says he is fighting an insurrection, involving foreign-backed “terrorists”.

Asma’s ancestral home is the city of Homs, now a symbol of the revolt which has been subjected to particularly fierce attack by her husband’s tanks to become ground zero in the year-long conflict.

With her penchant for crystal-encrusted Christian Louboutin shoes and Chanel dresses, Asma is a puzzle for many. The opposition roundly rejects suggestions that she is effectively a prisoner of conscience in the presidential palace.

“She was very much, as we would say, left wing. She (created) a very, very good impression. She seemed to be very bright, very respectful of others,” said Gaia Servadio, a writer and historian who has worked with Asma on several art projects.

“It’s a very nasty regime … Thousands of people have been killed. So it’s very difficult to say: poor woman. She certainly should have found a way to talk.”

The world was smitten by her immaculate facade. In the Western media, Asma, a 36-year-old mother of three, was described as sophisticated, elegant, confident, with a “killer IQ” and an interest in opening up Syria though art and charity.

For those who pinned their hopes on Assad as a potential reformer, his photogenic wife bolstered that image, lending a touch of glamour to his awkward public appearances.

A glowing article in Vogue magazine described her as “a rose in the desert” and her household as “wildly democratic”. A French newspaper said she was an “element of light in a country full of shadow zones”.

People were charmed by her classy demeanour, liberal views and British accent. She received the Gold Medal of the Presidency of The Italian Republic for humanitarian work in 2008 and won an honorary archaeology doctorate from La Sapienza university in Rome.

“THE REAL DICTATOR”

Yet emails published by Britain’s Guardian newspaper this month from accounts believed to belong to the family offer a different portrait, showing her as a capricious dictator’s wife spending tens of thousands of pounds on jewels, fancy furniture, and a Venetian glass vase from Harrods.

“I am the real dictator, he has no choice,” she apparently said in one of the emails in a comment about her husband.

Her London contact, a Syrian businessman, appears to send emails to her using an address he has nicknamed “Party party”.

The story of how the London-born daughter of a Sunni Muslim Syrian doctor married into Assad’s family, members of the powerful minority Alawite sect, reads like a cautionary tale.

She was born in the west London suburbs, whose sleepy streets are lined with neat houses, just like her family’s. Twelve years after she married Assad, the family home appears almost abandoned, its curtains drawn. Neighbours said her father still lives there with his wife, a former diplomat.

“We know they are there but we don’t see them,” said one neighbour, a veiled Arab woman who asked not to be named. No one answered the door bell when Reuters called at the weekend.

A Syrian dissident from Aleppo, who lives nearby and asked to be identified only by his nickname, Zayed, said most Syrians in Britain despised Asma now.

Zayed, angrily comparing Asma to Marie Antoinette or the wife of Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceausescu, called on the Syrian leader’s wife to “make a stand for your own sake, for your own people … She never did.”

A senior member of the British Syrian Society, set up with Assad’s help to promote business ties, said he has met the first couple in London and used warm words to describe them.

“They were quite impressive to talk to. He came across as someone who wanted to listen, get ideas, get advice, open to everybody, he made it plain that he wanted Syrians abroad to help building the country again. He was welcoming and warm.”

Speaking on condition of anonymity in a gentlemen’s club in a smart London neighbourhood, he added: “We all felt there was an opportunity that he, the president, representing the younger generation, could lead Syria to a new age of change.

“Perhaps he feels betrayed. Why are they (the West) ganging up on him? Now some people say, he is in full control, others say that he is not. Maybe he is shocked by the fact that … in the end they all turned against them.”

Asma’s father, Fawaz Akhras, a cardiologist and founder of the British Syrian Society, has not responded to a Reuters request for a meeting, made through an intermediary.


“WARLORDS, ONE AGAINST THE OTHER”

Known as Emma to her British friends, Asma spent the first 25 years of her life in North Acton, went to a smart London girls school, Queen’s College, and read computer science at King’s College London.

She was a rising star at JP Morgan when she met Bashar, who had studied ophthalmology in London but was sent home to be groomed for the presidency after his elder brother, Basil, died in a car crash in 1994.

“I was always very serious at work, and suddenly I started to take weekends (off), or disappear, and people just couldn’t figure it out,” she told Vogue. “What do you say - ‘I am dating the son of a president?’”

They married in 2000. What followed was a life full of glamour. They once dined with Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt in Syria. Bashar joked, according to Vogue: “Brad Pitt wanted to send his security guards here to come and get some training!”

One photograph from happier days depicts them playing with their children, toys scattered around on the carpet.

The Assad side of the clan, however, didn’t like Asma, not least because of her Sunni Muslim origins.

“Certainly the Assad family doesn’t like her, to put it mildly … She was constantly under watch, her telephone, she was very careful,” Servadio, who spent time with the family in Syria before the uprising, told Reuters in London.

“She was shouted at. How odd, frankly, (that) somebody who is meant to be the wife of the president who is an autocrat, can be shouted at in this way.” She added: “It was like a mediaeval power, warlords, one against the other.”


CHILLING GLIMPSE

Asma’s husband was elected president with 97 percent of the vote in 2000 after the death of his father, Hafez al-Assad, who had ruled Syria with an iron fist for decades.

Before the start of the 2011 uprising, there was hope Syria could change. Syrians saw his choice of wife as proof that things were about to change.

“When he came to power, people said, ‘Okay … let’s give him a chance and see what he’s going to do,’” said Ghassan Ibrahim, Global Arab Network’s London-based editor. “What happened is that he made corruption even more organised, Mafia appeared, poverty grew sharply … (But) she is standing by the criminal and she supports him.”

Emails leaked by Syria’s opposition offer a chilling glimpse into the lavish lifestyle the couple enjoyed even as Assad’s troops shelled opposition strongholds.

The tone of those emails is incongruously jokey. In one, Asma’s husband disparages his own reforms as “rubbish”. He also shares a pun playing on the words “elections” and “erections”.

Asma appears to have written in an email: “If we are strong together, we will overcome this together … I love you.”

As the revolt unfolded she gradually disappeared from public view but broke her silence in February, saying in a statement: “The president is the president of Syria, not a faction of Syrians, and the first lady supports him in that role.”

In a haunting interview with CNN, looking nervous, she once said: “We are losing time. We are working against the clock. Three thousand and three hundred people injured. More than that, 22,000 people have been displaced from their homes … This is the 21st century. Where in the world could this happen?”

She was talking in 2009 about an Israeli operation in Gaza.


“VIRTUALLY A PRISONER”

Some believe she is a propaganda tool of the Assad family, a liberal going through a moral crisis in Damascus, unable to speak up or escape.

“She is virtually a prisoner. The two of them missed their boat,” said Servadio. “I would certainly accuse him (Assad) of being a coward. … I think he is a puppet, very much used.

“For them (the family) it’s wonderful to have a scapegoat, these two people at the top who are absorbing all the hatred.”

Ibrahim disagreed. “It’s not true at all. Assad has been in power for over 12 years. He is in full control. Giving such excuses to him is unacceptable. They are like the Mafia.”

As battles raged across Syria, Asma kept spending on designer baubles from London, according to the emails.

For ordinary Syrians, Asma al-Assad is now a hate figure.

“They have stolen Syrian money. She is squandering it here in London,” said Fawaz, a man who came to an opposition fund-raising event in London wrapped in a Syrian flag.

“She and her father are accomplices to this crime. They learned nothing from the democracy here in the UK.” (Writing By Maria Golovnina Editing by Giles Elgood)

07/03/12 Syria’s Propaganda War #Syria

#Syria: We would like to use this opportunity to shame Addounia TV aka Syrian State TV with the kind of desperate tactics they use for propaganda.

This was by far the stupidest act this pro-Assad channel has ever made.

English translation:

Reporter asks name of the interviewee. He tells her his name. Reporter THEN tells him “We won’t ask you on what you have voted” - fine.

Later, she then asks him “isn’t the referendum a good step in the direction of the road to democracy for a good political life that is demanded by the Syrian people?”. He answers, “Yes” and smiles awkwardly at her. A big UH-OH moment here as you can see.

The reporter further went on to ask whether he read the constitution. The man replies “yes” and said it is good.

No comment on the stupidity of pro-Assad supporters. They try not to be biased and they slam other channels for it but they have failed even with the simplest act of voting.

Do 55% of Syrians really want President Assad to stay? #Syria

An opinion poll was widely reported last month as evidence that 55% of Syrians think President Bashar al-Assad should not resign. But does the claim stand up to scrutiny?

The world is watching Syria, where every day there are new scenes of horror as the violence between protesters and the regime’s security forces continues.

Against this backdrop, some commentators have picked up on a striking statistic - that 55% of Syrians want President Assad to stay in power.

In a column in the UK’s Guardian newspaper, the statistic was used to suggest that the Western media was mis-reporting the situation in Syria, suppressing “inconvenient facts” for the purposes of propaganda.

The statistic has been reported widely elsewhere, from the New York Times, to Al Jazeera (in Arabic) Iranian owned Press TV, and Syrian news sites.

(Mis)interpreting data
Computer keyboard key bearing the word 'Vote'

• More than 1,000 people from 18 countries in the Middle East responded to YouGov Siraj’s internet poll question: “In your opinion, should Syria’s President Assad resign?”

• 81% of answered Yes

• 55% of respondents in Syria said they thought the president should stay

BUT

• Only 98 respondents were actually from Syria

• Only 18% of people in Syria have access to the internet

Source: YouGov Siraj internet survey

So what was this poll and who carried it out?

It was an internet survey of the Arab world by YouGov Siraj in December. It covered just more than 1,000 people in 18 countries in the Middle East and North Africa.

The central question was: “In your opinion should Syria’s President Assad resign?”

Across the whole region, the overall finding was that 81% of people polled thought President Assad should go.

But the polling company also stated: “Respondents in Syria are more supportive of their president. 55% do not believe Assad should resign.”

Looking closely at the survey report, it does not say explicitly how many of the 1,000 people who responded were from Syria. But it does say that 211 were polled in the Levant region, 46% of whom were in Syria.

Doing the sums, this suggests that only 97 people took part. When the BBC checked with YouGov Siraj for the exact breakdown, the company said that in fact there were 98 respondents from Syria (the difference arising from the fact that averages given in the survey report were rounded).

This is a very low sample according to the managing director of survey company ORB, Johnny Heald, who has been carrying out polls in the Middle East for many years.

“When we poll and we want to find out what Libyans think, or what Syrians think, we would rarely do anything less than 1,000 interviews,” he says.

“One thousand is the generally accepted industry minimum to be able to speak confidently about what people from a particular country think about an issue.

“If you say that this poll covers people from 18 countries, then that’s fine. But you need to be very careful when you interpret the findings.

“It is not good to say that 55% of Syrians, for example, think that Assad should stay when only 97 people were asked that question.”

But he has another criticism - according to UN figures, only 18% of people in Syria have access to the internet, which means that the sample polled is biased towards those who can get online.

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad  
President Bashar al-Assad has called a referendum on a new constitution this weekend

The people who conducted the survey at YouGov Siraj, the Dubai-based arm of a UK polling company, say the poll was not intended to be representative of all Syrians.

They too say the sample was too low for this and that internet penetration in the country is not good enough.

This is why they referred to “respondents from Syria” rather than referring to “Syrians”, they say.

However, the Doha Debates TV programme, which commissioned the poll and published its findings, were not as sensitive to the distinction.

The figure is described on its site as: “Syrians are more supportive of their president with 55% not wanting him to resign.”

In a statement, the pollsters at YouGov Siraj said that with hindsight they wish they had been clearer: “To the layman, there seems very little difference between the two expressions but for researchers, the difference is huge.

Journalists have jumped on (the statistic) and ran with it, without thinking about the science behind how they came to that figure”

Johnny Heald Managing director of survey company ORB

“I think we should have stressed the difference much more to our client (or simply not shown the Syria data, as there was always a chance it might be misinterpreted).”

When we asked the organisers of the Doha Debates about the statistic, they insisted that despite the small sample size, the result was “of interest”.

They say the figures and polling data are freely available for people to draw their own conclusions.

Is it OK to put out a figure based on such a low sample?

Johnny Heald thinks it is acceptable for pollsters to pull out data from a broader poll, because often it is interesting.

But he says: “What you should always do is say: ‘Caution - this is a low base size.’

“The problem comes when people interpret it to be representative of a country.

“And I think in defence of YouGov, they don’t claim the poll is nationally representative of what Syrians think.

“They have just pulled out the Syrian numbers and because it is an interesting story and somewhat controversial, I think the journalists jumped on it and ran with it, without thinking about the science behind how they came to that figure.”

Former Syrian news anchor: ‘Why I couldn’t work for Assad’ #Syria

Former Syrian news anchor: Why I couldnt work for Assad

Once the face of Bashar al-Assad’s evening news bulletin, Hani al-Malathi publicly resigned from Syrian state TV last week over what he calls “state-orchestrated misinformation”. He tells FRANCE 24 why he could no longer work for the Assad regime.

By FRANCE 24  (text)
 

Former state TV anchor Hani al-Malathi officially resigned from his post last week. But he had not been seen on air since August last year after having fled to Dubai, where he remains today.

“I will not go back”, he told FRANCE 24 on Monday. “I had the feeling I was taking part in a propaganda campaign orchestrated by the regime”.

Despite his polished media presence, Al-Malathi fails to hide a troubled demeanour. He was one of the journalists who spoke of “armed insurgents” and “terrorist gangs” when protesters took to the streets last March.

Relying almost entirely on the Information Ministry, state journalists not only criminalised anti-regime protesters, but also downplayed army efforts to suppress the uprising. “The regime was desperate to convey the message that nothing was going on in the country,” al-Malathi explains.

“Both state and private media were transmitting false information, and anything that didn’t match up was portrayed as foreign meddling or a conspiracy.”

Al-Malathi says that he was not allowed to interview anybody on air who might contradict the official line.

“Regime mouthpiece”

Al-Malathi says that as a mouthpiece to the regime, state media only worsened the situation during the start of the unrest. “Our attempts to sell them a different story only added fuel to the fire,” he explains. “Instead of calming people down, we actually provoked the protesters to go further, fuelled their anger and reinforced a sense of shared hostility among the public.”

Al-Malathi speaks glumly of a decision by his own channel to devote an entire news bulletin to slamming “so-said foreign propaganda” during a particularly bloody stage of the conflict. “There would be no mention of the crackdown,” he says.

“It was as irresponsible as it was provocative to broadcast footage of cheering pro-regime rallies when on the other side of town, families of victims of the repression were burying their dead.”

Al-Malathi believes that Syrian media has lost all its credibility during the conflict. “There’s not one person left in the country who believes the state media’s version of events,” he says. “Not even the journalists themselves. The few who say they do are too scared to admit the truth.”

Al-Malathi has not returned to Syria since he fled in August and has “no plans” to do so in the near future. Until now, the regime has failed to mention his departure, but he believes his declaration last week is unlikely to go without comment.

“I am expecting some form of backlash concerning my resignation,” he shrugs. For Syrian protesters however, Malathi’s decision will make him a hero.

#Syria’s sectarian war goes international as foreign fighters and arms pour into country

After years of Syrian insurgents and weaponry infiltrating Iraq, now the traffic goes the other way

The attack at night was sudden and fierce, mortar rounds followed by machine-gun fire. There was panic among some of the inexperienced Syrian rebel fighters. But Sadoun al-Husseini had seen it all before.

Mr Husseini got his combat experience in Iraq, fighting first against American forces and then as a member of the “Anbar Awakening”, when Sunni nationalists turned their guns against foreign fighters affiliated with al-Qa’ida.

His presence inside Syria, where an overwhelmingly Sunni uprising is taking place against Bashar al-Assad’s Alawite-dominated establishment, can be interpreted as an example of the country’s civil war turning into an international sectarian conflict, a source of great unease in the region. Or it could be, as the 36-year-old engineer from the Iraqi city of Ramadi insisted, an expression of solidarity with oppressed brethren sharing a common heritage.

What it does illustrate is a reversal of roles between two countries. For years after the US-led invasion of Iraq, weapons and fighters slipped in across the border from Syria. Now the roles are being reversed with the flow coming the other way, although the numbers involved remain unclear.

Ayman al-Zawahiri, Osama bin Laden’s successor as head of al-Qa’ida, declared this month that it was the duty of all Muslims to take part in jihad in Syria. The organisation’s Iraqi arm was, according to some American officials, responsible for recent bombings in Damascus and one in Aleppo. A message on the website of al-Qa’ida in Iraq said: “A lot of people fought side-by-side with the Islamic state of Iraq and it is good news to hear about the arrival of Iraqi fighters to help their brethren in Syria.”

Mr Husseini had already been into Syria through Iraq’s Anbar province. He maintained that his visit to the Idlib area, a circuitous route through Turkey, was part of a humanitarian mission. He got caught up in violence, he said, when regime forces attacked a village.

Speaking to The Independent inside Syria, he said: “Our Syrian brothers are fighting their own war. I am not involved. But it is the duty of all true Muslims to help people in this struggle. We are just trying to work out what help is needed. People in Iraq and other countries are seeing the suffering that is taking place and I am working with a group that is giving support – but it is all peaceful.”

Mr Husseini acknowledged some arms may be coming across the Iraqi border. “This is something I have heard,” he said. “There are plenty of guns, rocket-propelled grenades, other things one can buy in Iraq. So some businessmen are maybe doing this.”

He did not want to reveal details of the group he is working with for “security reasons”. But he said: “We are the same family. There may be a lot of refugees coming into Iraq and we must look after them, just as the Syrians looked after us when people from Iraq had to escape there. Yes, I have heard all this talk of al-Qa’ida doing things in Syria. But that does not have the support of true Iraqis… this is propaganda, spread inside Iraq by people who want to damage solidarity with Syria.”

The Shia-dominated Iraqi government has said it is taking urgent steps to stop arms going into Syria. The office of the Prime Minister, Nouri al-Maliki, said he held a meeting at the weekend “to work on closing all the gaps over the border with Syria, which terrorists and criminal gangs are using for all kinds of smuggling, including arms”.

Yet the worry of sectarian strife spilling across the region continues to grow. Yesterday, in the southern Turkish city of Antakya, a demonstration took place in support of the Syrian regime by about 3,000 people, the vast majority of them Alawites, chanting: “We shall shed our blood for you, Assad.”

Inside Syria, meanwhile, the official news agency, Sana, reported that gunmen killed a state prosecutor and a judge in Idlib province. They blamed “terrorists” – a catch-all phrase the regime uses to describe anyone opposed to President Assad’s rule.

**MUST READ** Inside #Syria’s Death Zone: Assad’s Regime Hunts People in Homs

The regime in Damascus is using snipers to hunt down its own people. Rebels on the ground in besieged Homs, the site of some of the most extreme brutality, say the international community is hesitating to help Syrians out of fear that it will trigger a civil war. But the threat is merely propaganda from ruler Bashar Assad, they claim.

When the haze dissipates in the late afternoon light, and when the last unfortunate souls hurry across the open space, running in a zigzag pattern, hunting season begins on Cairo Street. There is random shooting all day long at this spot, but from this moment on the shooting becomes targeted. A few people make it to the other side on this day, but one does not. He screams and falls to the ground as he is hit. He was carrying a loaf of bread, something that was no longer available on his side of Cairo Street.

Pedestrians are rarely targeted in the morning. But beginning in the afternoon and continuing throughout the night, the wide, straight street that separates the Khalidiya and Bayada neighborhoods becomes a death zone. That’s when they — the snipers working for Syrian intelligence, who are nothing more than death squads, and the Shabiha killers, known as “the ghosts,” mercenaries who are paid daily wages and often earn a little extra income by robbing their victims — shoot at anything that moves.

The map of Homs is a topography of terror these days. Entire sections of Syria’s third-largest city are besieged. Hundreds of thousands have become the hostages of a regime whose president, Bashar Assad, insisted with a chuckle in an interview with America’s ABC News, that only a madman would order his forces to shoot at his own people.

What began nine months ago as a peaceful protest against the dictatorship of the Assad dynasty has since become a campaign against the people by the regime — a regime that, for 41 years, was accustomed to using brutality to enforce submission. Since it realized that this brutality was no longer sufficient, it decided to use even more — and then even more when the resistance continued to grow. There are no negotiations. In the heavily guarded downtown section of Homs, where the regime feigns an eerie mood of normality for foreign visitors, it has put up signs that read: “The continuation of dialogue guarantees stability.”

Random Targets

On Monday, the regime officially yielded to demands by the Arab League, announcing that it would now allow independent observers into the country. But Assad had already promised an end to the violence months ago, and nothing changed. On Tuesday, his forces bombarded Homs with rockets.

Many cities in Syria have become combat zones, and now the uprising has even reached the suburbs of Damascus. But, in Homs, anywhere from five to 15 people die every day, most as the victims of snipers. The insurgents have counted more than 200 sniper positions in Homs, from which people are being shot arbitrarily and without warning — not because they are protesting, but merely because they are there.

One was the man who crossed the street to buy bread, who a few courageous bystanders pulled out of the line of fire and took to a field hospital the insurgents had set up in Khalidiya. But the victim was removed from the hospital within minutes. “He was shot in the head,” a pale doctor says tersely. “We could do nothing for him and we need the space.” A young teacher, now filling in as a nurse, says: “Help us! We need medication, weapons, everything!”

In the next room, a doctor is using a thin, folded prayer rug to teach five women how to suture deep wounds. In another room, a man is doubled over in pain as doctors amputate part of his foot after a gunshot wound became infected there. According to an announcement coming from the loudspeakers of a nearby mosque, the pedestrian with the bread has just died.

Outside, in the bluish light of dusk, a vegetable truck drives by loaded with his corpse and the body of another person who was shot earlier in the day. A couple stands in front of their house, shaking in anger and despair, watching the truck disappear down the street. The woman, who is veiled, says: “Why can we simply be killed like this? Why is no one helping us? Where is the Arab League, and where are France, Germany, America?” She screams in exasperation. She tells us about an old man around 70 years old who was hit by two bullets in front of her house. “We couldn’t get him out for an entire hour. When we had finally moved him into the house, we were so afraid that we tried to rinse away the blood, so that the Shabiha wouldn’t attack us. Under these conditions, what does it matter whether we live or die? I’m going to the checkpoint! I’m going to put on an explosive belt, so that at least I can take them with me!”

Homs is a complicated city, a microcosm of the country. More than half of its 1.5 million inhabitants are Sunnis, a little more than 10 percent, respectively, are Christians and Alawites, and the rest of the population is distributed among smaller minorities. The protests against the regime have inevitably developed their own dynamic. President Assad, the highest-ranking generals and the heads of the intelligence agencies are Alawites, as are most of the men in the death squads and the Shabiha militias. Their victims are almost exclusively Sunnis. Soldiers and members of the intelligence agencies who have defected say that the regime has also deployed forces dressed in civilian clothes to attack Alawites in the name of the Sunnis and Sunnis in the name of the Alawites. Peaceful protesters are being painted as Islamist fanatics who have come to rape Christian women.

‘They Kill Everyone’

There have been unsolved kidnappings and murders in Homs, and there are reports of beheadings. And even though life is still relatively normal in the Alawite neighborhoods, the tension is building. “The fear of a civil war is prompting other countries to hesitate before helping us,” says one of the young coordinators of the Revolutionary Committee in Homs, who says we should call him Ahmed. “But the longer it takes, the greater the risk of civil war.”

Ahmed guides us to a meeting of Alawite activists in the Bayada neighborhood. He wants to show us how they are trying to prevent the tension from escalating. The route takes us across Cairo Street, which is still quiet on this morning. It passes through houses where walls have been broken down to create new paths out of the snipers’ range of fire. And it leads past knee-high piles of garbage and families fleeing with their suitcases, hoping to make it to other cities, where the situation is hardly any better. We finally arrive on Wadi-al-Arab Street in Bayada.

Different rules apply here than only a few blocks away. The shooting is constant. People gather on both sides of the street, where bullets whip across the asphalt every few minutes on this morning. To get food and medication into the neighborhood, a few brave souls summon up their strength and throw bread, noodles, cigarettes and diapers across the street. Then, using wire snares, ropes and hooks, they try to pull to safety whatever has been left lying in the street.

An old woman stands weeping in front of a building wall. “It’s been like this for two months now. This is a prison. Even worse. I live over there (on the other side of the street). But I can’t run so fast anymore. They’ll kill me if I try to go home. They kill everyone. Katl, katl,” she says, repeating the Arabic word for “kill.” As the tears run down her cheeks, she sobs for a moment, then rubs her eyes with the back of her hand and says: “Excuse me.”

Waiting for an Attack

After half an hour, a small, white delivery van arrives — the taxi of madness. Those who wish to ride in the makeshift taxi say goodbye to the others and whisper quiet prayers. A man shouts: “And if we die, we die — for a piece of bread!” Then they get in, first the old woman, her eyes shut, mumbling her prayers. An old man, carrying heavy bags, follows suit, then a few boys who try to lie down between the others, making themselves as small as possible.

The people standing around the van step back. The driver puts it into reverse, gets a 30-meter (98-foot) running start, floors the accelerator and rushes across the street. He almost hits a parked car on the other side before coming to a stop amid cheers from the crowd. No shots were fired this time. Three other cars perform the same daring stunt, and everyone makes it.

Prominent Alawites and a Christian from different cities have gathered in the house of a Sunni sheikh on the other side. They are planning demonstrations in relatively safe neighborhoods to protest the government’s attempts to incite religious violence. “The world should know that the civil war is Assad’s propaganda,” one man says to murmured assent from the others.

The problem, Ahmed explains, is that both of the sniper positions at the two ends of Wadi-al-Arab Street are in Alawite neighborhoods and are flanked by militias from the neighborhood. “The Alawites are the last bastion of the regime,” he says. “The Sunnis are the victims, no matter what we say.”

But this, he adds, is a rather theoretical debate, since it is questionable whether they will even be alive in a few days. Some 200 to 300 tanks of the “Assad army” have been posted outside Homs for weeks. Residents anticipate an attack any day now. Everyone wonders what is making Assad hesitate, hoping that it is the mistrust of generals in his own army. The highest-ranking officers may be Alawites, but most of the soldiers, non-commissioned officers and lower-ranking officers are Sunnis. If they are forced to attack, men from the militias and the intelligence services will be standing at their backs to force them to shoot — by threatening to shoot anyone who refuses to kill. 

Part 2: Peaceful Protests Are Dead

Assad’s regime speaks of foreign terrorists and a “global conspiracy.” His thugs torture prisoners to extract confessions to support the claim that a Saudi-Israeli-American plot is at work in Syria — although they themselves are the ones shooting at fellow Syrians and even at their own soldiers, and afterwards parading the bodies on government television as the victims of the alleged conspiracy.

The consensus of peaceful protests, which had lasted until the late summer, is literally dead. The fighters, most of them army defectors, have filled the vacuum. Under the nominal leadership of a colonel who fled to Turkey, they are trying to establish the so-called “Free Syrian Army,” or FSA. It is unclear whether this FSA actually consists of more than 15,000 soldiers, as it claims, but its numbers are increasing by the day. In Homs, at any rate, it has managed to turn a drab, working-class suburb into a symbol of hope. Baba Amr, a poor district in the southwestern part of the city, is the first liberated zone in central Syria. Within these three square kilometers, everything is different.

On the way there, not far from the headquarters of the air force intelligence agency, the blood-covered corpses of two torture victims lie in the grass by the side of the road. Here, in the no-man’s land between the opposing fronts, no one dares to recover the bodies.

At the first FSA checkpoint, the men salute and introduce themselves by stating their rank and the name of their unit. They have weapons, but only two uniform jackets, which they put on in turn to pose for photos. There are armed guards at almost every corner, and small units of a dozen men each are positioned behind sandbags and barricades at various points along the perimeter of the neighborhood, which is home to more than 50,000 people. Families from the neighborhood bring food to the men, who are armed with Kalashnikovs and a few RPGs. Baba Amr is protected by a total of 500 soldiers under the command of the defected Lieutenant Colonel Abdul-Razak Tlas, a distant nephew of the former defense minister.

On the day he disappeared, says Tlas, he received calls from generals in his neighborhood, who said: “Come back! We’ll make sure you won’t have any problems. You’ll get money, a lot of money!”

He didn’t return.

A few days later, he says, others called and said: “If you don’t turn yourself in, we’ll kill your wife and children!” But, by then, the family had already gone into hiding.

Life in the Liberated Zone

An eerie quiet hangs over Baba Amr at the moment. The army withdrew in November after heavy fighting. At the FSA checkpoint across from the university, a space of only 25 meters lies between the rebels and Assad’s troops. It’s been this way for six weeks. “As long as they don’t attack, we don’t shoot, either,” says Tlas.

And what happens if the tanks come? “We’ll stall them as long as possible.” And then? “We’ll withdraw, just as we did in October, the last time the army attacked Baba Amr,” forcing thousands of residents to flee to nearby villages. “After all, we don’t have any tanks.”

But what about all the talk of foreign support? “You mean the global conspiracy? The one Bashar, that dog, is always mentioning?” one of the deserters interjects. “We could use it,” Tlas says hoarsely. “We would be grateful for every round of ammunition! But what we really need is a no-fly zone!”

There is something desperate about calling for a no-fly zone when Assad has hardly used any aircraft yet. So far, guns and tanks have been enough to kill thousands. “Nevertheless,” Tlas insists, “such a zone would encourage many officers to defect with their men and tanks.”

In the relative calm of the moment, the neighborhood is doing its best to remain self-sufficient. Committees handle the distribution of food and water, as well as the electricity supply. Defectors from the army and doctors are coming from around the country. Couriers bring money and medications. Shepherds discreetly drive their herds along the edges of the neighborhood. Even Friday prayers at the largest local mosque have taken on a secular tone: “And if you still have diesel in your home, share it with the others! If you have food, share it! Open your houses to the refugees! God is with the charitable! Also, the hospital needs blood donors! Rh negative!”

A chain-smoking trio — a greengrocer, the manager of a chain of perfume stores and a computer scientist — coordinates Baba Amr’s contact with the outside world. In the apartment the group uses as its headquarters, sheikhs stumble across the tangled cables coming from several computers, the phones ring all night long, students upload videos of the most recent protests and the shooting victims, and hand grenades, ashtrays and coffee cups are piled high on overloaded tables.

A Victim is Buried

Everyone talks nonstop. When one of the young activists receives a call, he suddenly falls silent and stares at his screen without moving. His cousin has been shot to death. He lived in Dar Kabira, a village outside Homs, and was just on his way home with neighbors when it happened.

The Shabiha at the checkpoint in the main road had apparently checked their identification cards, allowed them to pass and, seconds later, opened fire on the car. Two survived, but the cousin, a 20-year-old man named Malik, was killed. It isn’t entirely clear what kinds of weapons the Shabiha were using, but half of Malik’s head was blown off. He had worked as a baker in Homs and was supporting his younger siblings. His dream, says the uncle on the other end of the line, was to own his own bakery.

The next morning Malik’s body, wrapped in a white shroud, is laid out in a wooden coffin in the small mosque in Dar Kabira. A plastic bag is wrapped around his neck where his head should be. One of the bystanders offers to remove the bag for the photographer, but Malik’s uncle begs them not to: “No, don’t, please!”

It is a powerful image: an entire village burying one of its own. The houses are empty on this morning. Almost everyone is in the street. The village dignitaries in their finest robes lead the funeral procession, followed by the farmers, children and women. It is a scene of stone-faced mourners, tears quickly brushed aside and muttered curses. Girls scatter flowers from the rooftops. The crowd chants that this is Malik’s path to paradise. They force themselves to celebrate. This is their custom, but it isn’t working well anymore. The people of Dar Kabira are too enraged to celebrate.

“They storm our village at night, they break into the houses, and they arrest and shoot people to death,” one of the men says angrily, “just because they are demonstrating peacefully. What kind of a government does this? Bashar Assad says he is a legitimate president. Does a legitimate president do something like this? We may be farmers, but we will no longer bow our heads! Even if they massacre half of our village!”

A New Mood of Trust

The journey back into the city has become dangerous. A car that remains ahead of us reports new checkpoints, and the convoy leaves the road to continue on field paths. Farmers offer us tea and protection for the night. We continue on foot and on motorcycles until we reach the first guard posts at Baba Amr.

In the past, Syria was a country of paranoid suspicion. But in the months of the insurrection, an unprecedented mood of trust has developed. Strangers open their doors when deserters or the injured need a place to hide. Passersby warn drivers about new sniper positions and checkpoints. Doctors treat the injured in government hospitals, even though a single denunciation could be a death sentence for them.

The regime, which spied on and spread fear among its own population, is now being infiltrated itself. Informants in the military and intelligence services warn outsiders of arrests, pass on lists of people being sought and reveal the government’s attack plans. But the system is still holding up.

“What does the world do?” an old man standing on the cemetery hill in Dar Kabira asks, without expecting an answer. When what was left of Malik was lowered into the grave, the old man gazed across the cold winter landscape, as if hoping to find an answer somewhere out there. And then he finds what was looking for, and says: “Back there at the creek, the people from intelligence sometimes drop off the bodies. It doesn’t stop. Bashar will have them kill as many people as the world allows him to kill.”

Translated from the German by Christopher Sultan

#Syria - EXPOSED: FM Walid Al-Moualem uses a video dated to 2010 & captured in Lebanon, & claims in his press conference today that it took place in Syria. #PropagandaFAIL